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CSSS 2000–2001 Math Review Lectures: Probability ...

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CSSS 2000 2001 Math Review Lectures: Probability , statistics and stochastic ProcessesCosma Rohilla ShaliziUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison, Physics Department, and the Santa Fe 4 June 2000and 11 June 20012iThese notes are available electronically shalizi/prob-notes/.Reports of typos, and more serious bugs, are eagerly HistoryDateComments4 June 2000First version finished (about four hours before teaching from it).8 July 2000Minor typo fixes, some points amplified in response to student comments;added list of deficiencies as Appendix June 2001More typo fixes, added paragraph on large deviation principle, second July 2001Fixed two errors (thanks to Cecile Viboud and Antonio Ramirez)ContentsPart I: Probability11 What s a Probability Anyway?12 Probability Basic Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Caution about Probabilities 0 and 1 . . . . . . . . . . . Conditional Probabilities.

CSSS 2000–2001 Math Review Lectures: Probability, Statistics and Stochastic Processes Cosma Rohilla Shalizi University of Wisconsin-Madison, Physics Department, and the Santa Fe Institute

  Lecture, Processes, Statistics, Probability, Stochastic, Statistics and stochastic processes

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