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Probability

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ProbabilityAbout these people have written excellent notes for introductorycourses in Probability . Mine draw freely on material prepared by others in present-ing this course to students at Cambridge. I wish to acknowledge especially GeoffreyGrimmett, Frank Kelly and Doug order I follow is a bit different to that listed in the Schedules. Most of the materialcan be found in the recommended books by Grimmett & Welsh, and Ross. Many of theexamples are classics and mandatory in any sensible introductory course on book by Grinstead & Snell is easy reading and I know students have enjoyed are also some very good Wikipedia articles on many of the topics we will these notes I attempt a Goldilocks path by being neither too detailed or too brief.

3.The probability that a drawing pin will land ‘point up’ is 0:62. 4.The probability that a large earthquake will occur on the San Andreas Fault in the next 30 years is about 21%.

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