ANNEX 1: LOGICAL FRAMEWORK

67 ANNEX 1: LOGICAL FRAMEWORKP roject descriptionIndicatorsMeans of verificationAssumptionsGoalImproved food security and livelihoods of the rural populationBy the end of 2011: percentage of people falling under IPC Phase 4 decreased by 20%.IPC, SIFSIA vulnerability to shocks among rural communities in the targeted priority statesBy the end of 2011: probability of an individual or household being in a vulnerable state in the future is reduced by 10% (of headcount); and welfare losses associated with food insecurity reduced by 30% (of assets).Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis of vulnerability in a food insecurity context39, benchmark value for the food security indicators are known and count indicator of vulnerability to food insecurity relative to an appropriate threshold or benchmark is 1 Improved food productionBy the end of 2011: a minimum of 250 000 households (returnees, demobilized soldiers) have resumed sustainable food production; and 30 000 households have adopted conservation agriculture , does not deteriorate significantly and the rural population maintains its access to land and requirements are met up to a sufficient level to

69 A mid-year ANLA review and a Rapid Crop Assessment Mission carried out in July and August 2009 found that food insecurity and conflict were worse in 2009 than in 2008.

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