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Bounding Partisan Approval Rates Under …

Bounding Partisan Approval Rates UnderEndogenous Partisanship: Why High PresidentialPartisan Approval May Not Be What It SeemsB. Pablo Montagnes , Zachary Peskowitz , and Joshua McCrain Running header: Bounding Partisan Approval Rates Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Emory Corresponding author, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Emory PhD student, Department of Political Science, Emory The presidential Approval rate among a president s co-partisans has receiveda great deal of attention and is an important quantity for understanding accountability ofthe executive branch. We show that the reported composition of the president s party isendogenous to presidential popularity, with the party growing and becoming more ideologi-cally moderate as presidential popularity increases.

In this short paper, we examine how compositional changes in public opinion polls a↵ect estimation of the presidential approval rate among a …

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  Rates, Under, Approval, Partisan, Bounding partisan approval rates under, Bounding, Compositional

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