Transcription of CHAPTER 3 DEMAND FORECASTING TECHNIQUES - …
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CHAPTER 3 DEMAND FORECASTING TECHNIQUES 35 CHAPTER 3 DEMAND FORECASTING TECHNIQUES 1. INTRODUCTION TO FORECASTING ..36 2. IMPORTANCE OF AIR CARGO FORECASTING ..37 a. Market DEMAND ..38 b. Facility and Infrastructure DEMAND ..38 3. ELEMENTS OF AIR CARGO FORECASTING ..39 a. Air Cargo DEMAND ..40 b. Air Cargo Services and Other Supply Factors ..41 c. airport Traffic and Other Activity ..43 4. AIR CARGO DATA SOURCES ..43 a. General Sources for Traffic and b. International Cargo Flow c. Domestic Cargo Flow Sources ..45 d. Other Sources ..45 5. FORECASTING TECHNIQUES AND MODELS ..46 a. Collecting and Understanding the Data ..46 i. Current Aviation Industry and Cargo Trends ..46 ii. Catchment Area Socio-economic Data ..47 iii. Historical Air Service and Cargo Traffic Trends ..47 iv.
-such as economic growth, currency rates and fuel prices, which influence air cargo traffic growth. ... of security, and increased available freighter capacity which drove down rates. The cargo industry ... easier airport access, warehousing sorting and storage space, smoother customs policies, secure airside access, and shorter taxi-time.
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