Transcription of CHAPTER 4 HOW DO WE MEASURE RISK?
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CHAPTER 4 HOW DO WE MEASURE RISK?
1 CHAPTER 4 HOW DO WE MEASURE RISK? If you accept the argument that risk matters and that it affects how managers and investors make decisions, it follows logically that measuring risk is a critical first step towards managing it. In this CHAPTER , we look at how risk measures have evolved over time, from a fatalistic acceptance of bad outcomes to probabilistic measures that allow us to begin getting a handle on risk, and the logical extension of these measures into insurance. We then consider how the advent and growth of markets for financial assets has influenced the development of risk measures. Finally, we build on modern portfolio theory to derive unique measures of risk and explain why they might be not in accordance with probabilistic risk measures.
of chance were common in those times and the players of those games must have ... provides the number of possible combination if an even-odds event is repeated a fixed number of times; if repeated N times, adding the numbers in the N+1 row and dividing ... the basis for the central limit theorem and allows us to use the normal distribution as an
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