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Commitment and Lapse Behavior in Long-Term …

Commitment and Lapse Behavior inLong-Term insurance : A Case Study Jean Pinquet, Montserrat Guill n, Mercedes Ayuso AbstractThis paper presents a case study of a portfolio of individual Long-Term insur-ance contracts sold by a Spanish mutual company. We describe the risk levels,the rating structure and the implied cross-subsidies on a portfolio of policiesproviding health, life and Long-Term care insurance . We show evidence of re-classification risk through the history of disability spells. We also analyze thelapse Behavior and seek to provide a rationale for the portfolio s dynamics. Wediscuss the lack of Commitment from the policyholders (lapses) and from themutual company (which took a run-offdecision). Finally, we draw conclusionsregarding the design of such IntroductionThis paper presents a case study of a portfolio of individual Long-Term insurancecontracts, sold by a Spanish mutual company.

Commitment and Lapse Behavior in Long-Term Insurance: A Case Study ∗ Jean Pinquet,†Montserrat Guillén, Mercedes Ayuso‡ Abstract This paper presents a case study of a portfolio of individual long-term insur-

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