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CREDIT RISK MODELLING: CURRENT PRACTICES AND …

CREDIT RISK modelling : CURRENT PRACTICESANDAPPLICATIONSB asle Committee on Banking SupervisionBasleApril 1999 TABLE OF CONTENTSList of ParticipantsExecutive SummaryPart I:Introduction1. Overview .. 82. Internal Applications of CREDIT Risk Models .. 93. Key Challenges to Regulatory 104. Organisation of Report .. 11 Part II:Overview of Conceptual Approaches to CREDIT Risk Modelling1. Economic Capital Allocation .. 13A. Probability Density Function of CREDIT Losses .. 13B. Key Issues .. 162. Measuring CREDIT Loss .. 16A. Time Horizon .. 16B. Default-Mode 17An Illustration: The Mean/Standard Deviation 18 Internal Risk Rating Systems, EDFs, Transition 19C. Mark-to-Market Paradigm .. 22 Discounted Contracual Cash Flow 22 Risk-Neutral Valuation 23D. Key Issues .. 243. Probability Density Functions .. 26A. 26B. Key Issues .. 274. Conditional versus Unconditional Models .. 28A. Definition of 28B.

approach could be used in the formal process of setting regulatory capital requirements for credit risk, regulators would have to be confident not only that models are being used to actively manage risk, but also that they are conceptually sound, empirically validated, and produce capital requirements that are comparable across institutions.

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