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Decision Making under Uncertain and Risky Situations

Decision Making under Uncertain and Risky Situations M. T. Taghavifard K. Khalili Damghani R. Tavakkoli Moghaddam Copyright 2009 by the Society of Actuaries. All rights reserved by the Society of Actuaries. Permission is granted to make brief excerpts for a published review. Permission is also granted to make limited numbers of copies of items in this monograph for personal, internal, classroom or other instructional use, on condition that the foregoing copyright notice is used so as to give reasonable notice of the Society's copyright. This consent for free limited copying without prior consent of the Society does not extend to Making copies for general distribution, for advertising or promotional purposes, for inclusion in new collective works or for resale.

Decision Making under Risk, Risk Management, Decision Making Technique, Bayesian Approach, Risk Measuring Tool. 2 1. Introduction Modeling for decision making involves two distinct parties—one is the decision maker and the other is the model builder known as the analyst. The analyst is to assist the

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