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ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions update prepared by: climate prediction center / NCEP 5 February 2018 Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Ni o Index (ONI) Pacific SST Outlook Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks Summary Summary * Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking here. ENSO Alert System Status : La Ni a Advisory La Ni a conditions are present.* Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. La Ni a is likely (~85-95%) through Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral expected during the spring.* During January and February 2017, above-average SSTs expanded in the eastern Pacific Ocean.

Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 15 October 2018. Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) Pacific SST Outlook U.S. Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks Summary. Summary

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