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Farming for the Future - World Bank

Farming for the Future m the environmental sustainability of agriculture in a changing World Holger A. Kray Lead Agriculture Economist The Global Food System in 2050 35% increase in food production by 2030 (FAO) income growth per year for smallholders farmers in poorer countries (to end poverty) Improved health outcomes - Reduced undernourishment and child stunting - Reduced obesity Sustainable use of natural resources land, water, biodiversity, atmosphere 2012 2050 Needed from the Global Food System +50% Food demand 7 billion people 9 billion people Projected Trends Will Not Get Us There Increase in Food Production (%) by 2030 Income Increase to 2030 (% per year) Health Outcomes (bn people) by 2030 GHG Emissions from Agriculture (% change) by 2030 +20%* +35% TrendVision+13%* -25% * * TrendVision* is 10 yr trend growth (2003-2012) of agricultural labor productivity in low income countries projected forward to 2030; is estimated agricultural incomes gains of the poor needed to end poverty by 2030.

Farming for the Future m the environmental sustainability of agriculture in a changing world Holger A. Kray Lead Agriculture Economist hkray@worldbank.org . The Global Food System in 2050 . ... 2012 2050 Needed from the Global Food System +50% Food demand 7 billion people

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