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FIXED INCOME - Research Affiliates

FIXED INCOMEM ethodology OverviewTABLE OF CONTENTSOVERVIEW ..1 What is This Document? ..1 Time Horizon ..2 FIXED INCOME ..3 Asset Class Overview ..3 Expected Return Methodology ..5 Yield ..5 Roll Return ..11 Credit Loss ..12 Valuation Change ..13 Results ..14 REFERENCES ..15 REVISION DATE: 10/01/2014 FIXED INCOME | 1 OVERVIEWWhat is This Document?This is one in a series of plain-language white papers setting forth Research Affiliates building block approach to developing long-term capital market expectations by asset class. (For information about the objectives and guiding principles of our asset allocation initiative, please refer to Capital Market Expectations: Methodology Overview, the first of these white papers.)

2 | FIXED INCOME Time Horizon One of the major considerations when embarking on the journey to generate asset class return expectations is the issue of time horizon. Because the focus here is on generating capital market expectations for strategic asset allocation, and not tactical overlays, a significantly long time horizon of 10 years was selected.

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