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Forecasting Time Series by SOFNN with …

Forecasting time Series by SOFNN with reinforcement learning Takashi Kuremoto, Masanao Obayashi, and Kunikazu Kobayashi Abstract A self-organized fuzzy neural network ( SOFNN ) to a probability policy which to determinate actions in with a reinforcement learning algorithm called Stochastic Gra- the procedure of reinforcement learning and the error of dient Ascent (SGA) is proposed to forecast a set of 11 time Series . Forecasting is as reward value (Subsection ). The proposed system is confirmed to predict chaotic time Series before, and is applied to predict each/every time Series in NN3 A. Embedding Forecasting competition modifying parameters of threshold of fuzzy neurons only. The training results are obviously effective According to the Takens embedding theorem, the inputs and results of long-term prediction give convincible trend values of prediction system on time t, can be reconstructed as a n in the future of time Series .

Forecasting Time Series by SOFNN with Reinforcement Learning Takashi Kuremoto, Masanao Obayashi, and Kunikazu Kobayashi Abstract—A self-organized fuzzy neural network (SOFNN)

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