GLOBAL TRENDS PARADOX PROGRESS - dni.gov

PARADOX OFPROGRESSA publication of the National Intelligence CouncilGLOBAL TRENDSJANUARY 2017 NIC 2017-001 ISBN 978-0-16-093614-2To view electronic MAP OF THE FUTURETHE MAP OF THE FUTUREOur story of the future begins and ends with a PARADOX : The same GLOBAL TRENDS suggesting a dark and difficult near future, despite the PROGRESS of recent decades, also bear within them opportunities for choices that yield more hopeful, secure futures. In the pages to come, we use multiple time horizons to help explore the future from different perspectives, to illustrate the risks for sudden discontinuities and deep, slow-moving shifts, and to flag decision start with an exploration of Key TRENDS that are changing the GLOBAL landscape and illuminate today s PARADOX . We discuss as well how these TRENDS are Changing the Nature of Power, Governance, and Cooperation as a way to diagnose why and how GLOBAL dynamics have become more challenging in recent very different personal, political, and business choices, the current trajectory of TRENDS and power dynamics will play out in a Near-Future of Rising Tensions.

Managing global issues will become harder as actors multiply—to include NGOs, corporations, and empowered individuals—resulting in more ad hoc, fewer ... extreme weather, water and soil stress, and food insecurity will disrupt societies. Sea-level rise, ocean acidification, ... Africa—with fertility …

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  Soil, Managing, Fertility

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