Governance and Complexity—Emerging Issues for …

Governance and complexity emerging Issues forGovernance TheoryANDREAS DUIT* and VICTOR GALAZ*Unexpected epidemics, abrupt catastrophic shifts in biophysical systems,and economic crises that cascade across national borders and regions areevents that challenge the steering capacity of Governance at all politicallevels. This article seeks to extend the applicability of Governance theoryby developing hypotheses about how different Governance types can beexpected to handle processes of change characterized by nonlinear dynam-ics, threshold effects, cascades, and limited predictability.

TABLE 1 Nonlinear Behavior in Human, Technical, and Biophysical Systems System Example Nonlinear Behavior Type Description Reference Social- ecological Freshwater Surprise Climate warming combined with agricultural runoff in the Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi basins leads to spread of subtropical cyanogmailbacterium, making loss of water supplies permanent rather than sporadic.

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