Transcription of Greed and grievance in civil war - New York University
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Greed and grievance in civil war - New York University
#Oxford University Press 2004 Oxford Economic Papers56 (2004), 563 595563 All rights and grievance in civil warBy Paul Collier* and Anke Hoefflery*Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of OxfordyCentre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, 21 WinchesterRoad, Oxford OX2 6NA; e-mail: investigate the causes of civil war, using a new data set of wars during 1960 may be explained by atypically severe grievances, such as high inequality,a lack of political rights, or ethnic and religious divisions in society. Alternatively,it might be explained by atypical opportunities for building a rebel it is difficult to find proxies for grievances and opportunities, we find thatpolitical and social variables that are most obviously related to grievances have littleexplanatory power. By contrast, economic variables, which could proxy some griev-ances but are perhaps more obviously related to the viability of rebellion, provideconsiderably more explanatory IntroductionCivil war is now far more common than international conflict: all of the 15 majorarmed conflicts listed by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute for2001 were internal (SIPRI, 2002).
1 On the analysis of the duration of civil war see Collier et al. (2004) and Fearon (2004). ... We now consider quantitative indicators of opportunity, starting with opportuni- ... Zimbabwe 12/72 12/79 * * Note: Previous wars include war starts 1945–1994.
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