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Lecture 2 Linear Regression: A Model for the Mean

Lecture 2 Linear Regression: A Model for the MeanSharyn O HalloranSpring 20052U9611 Closer Look at: Linear Regression Model Least squares procedure Inferential tools Confidence and Prediction Intervals Assumptions Robustness Model checking Log transformation (of Y, X, or both)Spring 20053U9611 Linear Regression: Introduction Data: (Yi, Xi) for i = 1,..,n Interest is in the probability distribution of Y as a function of X Linear Regression Model : Mean of Y is a straight line function of X, plus an error term or residual Goal is to find the best fit line that minimizes the sum of the error termsSpring valuesPHEstimated regression lineSteer example (see Display , p.)

Least Squares statistical estimation method finds those estimates that minimize the sum of squared residuals. Solution (from calculus) on p. 182 of Sleuth ... Inference Tools ... Notes about confidence and prediction bands

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