Transcription of Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to …
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Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to …
Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to 2021 31 July 2017 2 Contents 1. Overview .. 3 2. Introduction .. 3 3. Methodology and approach .. 3 4. Assumptions .. 5 Demand forecast .. 5 existing and committed supply resources .. 7 Eskom installed 7 New build commercial operation dates .. 8 Non-Eskom capacity without the 9 10 Demand-side 10 Eskom plant performance .. 10 5. Modelling scenarios .. 12 6. Results and conclusion .. 13 7. Glossary and abbreviations .. 14 List of figures Figure 1: MTSAO methodology .. 5 Figure 2: Energy demand forecast .. 6 Figure 3: Comparison of historical and forecast demand .. 7 Figure 4: Plant performance for July 2017 MTSAO .. 11 Figure 5: April 2016 and July 2017 MTSAO, % EAF Comparison.
5 Figure 1: MTSAO methodology Available generation and demand response resources, both existing and new when in commercial operation, are dispatched to meet expected demand on an hourly basis
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