Transcription of Modelling 2050: electricity system analysis
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Modelling 2050: electricity system analysis
Modelling 2050: electricity system analysis December 2020 Crown copyright 2020 This publication is licensed under the terms of the Open Government Licence except where otherwise stated. To view this licence, visit or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: Where we have identified any third-party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. Any enquiries regarding this publication should be sent to us at: Summary 2 Contents Summary _____ 3 1 Modelling methodology _____ 5 2 system cost and decarbonisation trends _____ 9 The importance of system flexibility _____ 12 3 Method for identifying low-cost deployment mixes _____ 13 4 Identifying low cost mixes _____ 16 Nuclear and gas CCUS deployment _____ 16 Renewable generation _____ 19 Renewable deployment _____ 21 Renewable curtailment _____ 22 Low-cost, low-carbon generation mixes _____ 24 5 Conclusions/Next steps _____ 25 Annexes _____ 27 A1.
The DDM is an electricity supply model, currently modelling the GB power sector out to 2050. It allows analysis of the impact of different policy decisions on capacity, costs, prices, security of supply and carbon emissions. The DDM employs two key algorithms: • Dispatch algorithm, which models electricity supply and demand
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