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Modelling COVID-19 in Queenslnd: Preliminary modelling of ...

Modelling COVID-19 in Queensland: Preliminary Modelling of reopening scenarios on meeting vaccination targets 17 October 2021. Authors: Paula Sanz-Leon, Lachlan Hamilton, Sebastian Raison, Anna Pan, James Roberts (QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute). With support from the Covasim team (Burnet Institute and the Institute for Disease Modeling). Queensland Health commissioned this work. Central question: As the vaccine rollout progresses, what might happen if borders reopen, restrictions relax, and there is an influx of cases into Queensland?

Burnet Institute’s modelling of the current outbreaks of the delta variant in Victoria and NSW [4-6]. We modelled four potential border reopening points, triggered by meeting double-vaccinated coverage targets: • 70% of the 16+ population • 80% of the 16+ population • 85% of the 16+ population • 90% of the 16+ population

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