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Natural Resources in 2020, 2030, and 2040: Implications ...

This paper does not represent US Government views. This paper does not represent US Government views. NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL REPORT NICR 2013-05, 25 July 2013 This is not an IC-coordinated report. This paper does not represent US Government views. Natural Resources in 2020, 2030, and 2040: Implications for the United States This paper does not represent US Government views. This paper does not represent US Government views. This report was prepared by Chatham House under the auspices of the Director, Strategic Futures Group. It was reviewed by the National Intelligence Council and other members of the Intelligence Community (IC), but was not formally coordinated. This paper does not represent US Government views. i This paper does not represent US Government views. Scope Note US National Security Impacts of Natural Resources in 2020, 2030, and 2040 This is not an IC-coordinated report.

Riots and political instability Regime collapse High inflation Further destabilization of global food markets Panic buying by consumer countries Natural disasters or water shortages in producer countries (2020, 2030, 2040). Export restrictions by producer states (2020) Oil price spikes (2020, 2030) Rise in consumption in emerging economies

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