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OECD/IFP Project on Future Global Shocks

IFP/WKP/FGS(2011)5 MULTI-DISCIPLINARY ISSUES INTERNATIONAL FUTURES PROGRAMME OECD/IFP Project on Future Global Shocks Social unrest By Ortwin Renn, Aleksandar Jovanovic and Regina Schr ter EU-VRi - European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management, Stuttgart, Germany Contact persons OECD: Pierre-Alain Schieb: +33 (0)1 45 24 82 70; Anita Gibson:+33 (0)1 45 24 96 27 ; Contact persons EU-VRi ( ): Ortwin Renn: +49 711 6858 3970 Aleksandar Jovanovic: +49 711 1839 781 14th January 2011 This report was written by Ortwin Renn, Aleksandar Jovanovic and Regina Schr ter as a contribution to the OECD Project Future Global Shocks . The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein are those of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries.

Page iv Preamble This paper is a commissioned contribution to the Module 2&4 of the proposed work plan for the OECD Future Global Shocks (FGS) Project (Schieb, Radisch, Sawaya, 2010).

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