Transcription of Omicron US Scenario analysis - covid-19.tacc.utexas.edu
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Omicron US Scenario analysis - covid-19.tacc.utexas.edu
Anass Bouchnita, Spencer J. Fox, Michael Lachmann, Jose L. Herrera-Diestra, Graham Gibson, Lauren Ancel Meyers December 16, 2021 The University of Texas at Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium Scenario Projections: TheEmergence of Omicron in the USDecember 16, 2021 The University of Texas COVID-19 Modeling ConsortiumContributors: Anass Bouchnita, Spencer J. Fox, Michael Lachmann, Jose , Graham Gibson, Lauren Ancel MeyersContact: November 24, 2021, South African scientists announced the rapid spread of a newSARS-CoV-2 variant. Within days, the WHO named the variant Omicron and classified it asa variant of concern (VOC).
low transmission, high immune escape, and high severity, increasing booster coverage can reduce absolute disease burden by a median of 1.3 million reported cases, 168,000 hospitalizations, and 39,000 deaths from December 1, 2021 and May 1, 2022 (Table 2). Under the most pessimistic scenario considered––low transmissibility, high immune escape,
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