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Afrinvest West Africa Page 2 Outline Section 1 Executive Summary 04 Section 2 Global Economy and Financial Markets Review and Outlook 14 Synchronised Global Growth Expansion to Continue Despite Policy Stability Risks 15 Policy Normalization by Systemic Central Banks Remains Downside Risk to EMs & DEs Growth 16 Global Markets: Consensus Opinion Points to Further Gains against Strong Macro Backdrop 16 Section 3 Domestic Macroeconomic Review and Outlook 17 The Recession and its Aftermath 18 Business Cycle Turnaround: Cyclical Oil Earnings Upswing Masks Structural Reform Inertia 19 2018 Macroeconomic the Recovery 22 Section 4 Equities Market Review and Outlook 29 Equites Market Performance and Outlook A possible Game of Two Halves?

Afrinvest West Africa Page 7 Executive Summary Whilst the structural issues remain headwinds, we note that the cyclical challenges should start to abate from 2018 and buoy Non-Oil sector growth

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