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Resource Dependence, Economic Performance, …

OF CONFLICT RESOLUTIOND unning / Resource dependence , Economic PERFORMANCER esource dependence , EconomicPerformance, and political StabilityTHAD DUNNINGD epartment of political ScienceUniversity of California, BerkeleyIn many Resource -dependent states, elites may face an important trade-off between the Economic bene-fits of diversification and the possibility for future political competition that diversification may , distinctive features of global Resource markets and national political economies may make diversi-fication more or less attractive to political elites. The author argues that in three cases which illustrate theequilibrium paths of the game-theoretic model developed here postindependence Bostwana, Mobutu sZaire, and Suharto s Indonesia three variables influenced elites incentives for diversification and therebyshaped outcomes along the dimensions of political stability and economicperformance: the world marketstructure for the Resource , the degree of societal opposition to elites, and the prior development of thenonresource private sector.

10.1177/0022002705277521JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTIONDunning / RESOURCE DEPENDENCE, ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Resource Dependence, Economic Performance, and Political Stability

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