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Seasonal Climate Forecast: March-May 2022 - Oregon

Seasonal Climate ForecastMarch May 2018 Issued: February 16, 2018 Contact: ODF Meteorologist Pete Parsons503-945-7448 or Department of Agriculture (ODA) - Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF)ODAP roduction support from Diana Walker, Jacob Cruser, and Andy ZimmermanEl Ni o Southern Oscillation (ENSO)Current Status and ForecastnLa Ni a (cold) conditions are present, with below-average sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Oceanic Ni o Index (ONI) for Nov. Jan. was C. This index, which lags real-time SSTs, is in La Ni a territory for the third consecutive month (The Climate Prediction Center s definition of a La Ni a Eventincludes an ONI value of C or colder, for at least 5 consecutive months).

Forecast Highlights nThe analog years (1972, 1997, & 2009) remained unchanged from last month. 1972 & 2009 were La Niña events; 1997 bordered on La Niña. nDuringa La Niña episode,late-winter and early-spring tends to be colder and wetter than normal for Oregon. nA transition to generally stormy conditions is indicated for March and April with above-average …

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