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THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCEPTIBLE …

THE FUTURE OF employment : HOWSUSCEPTIBLE ARE JOBS TOCOMPUTERISATION? Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne September 17, examine how SUSCEPTIBLE jobs are to computerisation. To as-sess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimatethe probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using aGaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine ex-pected impacts of FUTURE computerisation onUSlabour market outcomes,with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs atrisk andthe relationship between an occupation s probability of computerisation,wages and educational attainment.

THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCEPTIBLE ARE JOBS TO COMPUTERISATION?∗ Carl Benedikt Frey†and Michael A. Osborne‡ September 17, 2013. Abstract We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation.

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