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Time series Forecasting using Holt-Winters …

time series Forecasting using Holt-WintersExponential SmoothingPrajakta S. Kalekar(04329008)Kanwal Rekhi School of Information TechnologyUnder the guidance 6, 2004 AbstractMany industrial time series exhibit seasonal behavior, such as demand for apparel or , seasonal Forecasting problems are of considerable importance. This report con-centrates on the analysis of seasonal time series data using Holt-Winters exponential smoothingmethods. Two models discussed here are theMultiplicative Seasonal Modeland theAdditiveSeasonal IntroductionForecasting involves making projections about futureperformance on the basis of historical and current the result of an action is of consequence, but cannot be known in advance with precision, Forecasting may reduce decision risk by supplying additional information about the possible data have been captured for the time series to be forecasted, the analyst s next step isto select a model for Forecasting .

Time series Forecasting using Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing Prajakta S. Kalekar(04329008) Kanwal Rekhi School of Information Technology Under the guidance of

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  Series, Time, Time series, Exponential smoothing, Exponential, Smoothing

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