Transcription of Working Paper August 2015
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Working Paper August 2015
The Future of Forests: emissions from Tropical Deforestation with and without a Carbon Price, 2016 2050. Jonah Busch and Jens Engelmann Abstract We project the future of tropical deforestation from 2016-2050 with and without carbon pricing policies, based on 18 million observations of historical forest loss spanning 101 tropical countries. Our spatial projections of future deforestation incorporate topography, accessibility, protected status, potential agricultural revenue, and a robust observed inverted-U-shaped trajectory of forest cover loss with respect to remaining forest cover. We project that in the absence of new forest conservation policies, 289 million hectares of tropical forest will be cleared from 2016-2050 an area about the size of India and one-seventh of Earth's tropical forest area in the year 2000. We project that this tropical deforestation will release 169 GtCO2 to the atmosphere from 2016-2050.
Working Paper 411 August 2015 The Future of Forests: Emissions from Tropical Deforestation with and without a Carbon Price, 2016–2050 Abstract We project the future of tropical deforestation from 2016-2050 with and without carbon pricing
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