20 STATISTICAL LEARNING METHODS
P(djjhi): (20.3) For example, suppose the bag is really an all-lime bag (h5) and the first 10 candies are all lime; then P(djh3) is 0:510, because half the candies in an h3 bag are lime.2 Figure 20.1(a) shows how the posterior probabilities of the five hypotheses change as the sequence of 10 lime candies is observed.
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