Stochastic Calculus: An Introduction with Applications
random variable which means E[jYj] <1. To save some space we will write F n for \the information contained in X 1;:::;X n" and E[Y jF n] for E[Y j X 1;:::;X n]. We view F 0 as no information. The best guess should satisfy the following properties. • If we have no information, then the best guess is the expected value. In other words, E[Y jF 0 ...
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