ソフトウェア開発見積りの基本的 ... - ipa.go.jp

1 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved CoBRA 2012 4 20 CoBRA CoBRA 2 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 1. 2. 3. 4. 3 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 4 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 5 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved IT IT 6 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 7 Copyright 2012 MRI.

2 All Rights Reserved ( (1/2) IPA/SEC 20068 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 8 35 62 2 (2/2) ( ) IT 201020%25%37%38%33%29%1%9%8%0%20%40%60%8 0% 100%09 (n=489)07 (n=400) ( ) ( ) (SaaS) 23%21%8%7%15%21%17%9%3%27%29%7%13%0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%09 (n=489)07 (n=408) 9 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 10 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 55 10 200511 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved Capers Jones, Social and Technical Reasons for Software Project Failures , Crosstalk, June, 20061.)

3 2. 3. 4. 5. LM. Liard & Brenman, Software Measurement and Estimation: A Practical Approach , John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 20066. 7. 8. 9. 10. 12 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (1) KKD Kan Keiken Dokyo 13 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved IPA/SEC 2007 12 14 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (2) B.

4 Boehm, Software Engineering Economics,1984 IPA/SEC 2006 :4 1|4 15 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (3) 1 2% Capers Jones 2 2009 IPA/SEC 2006 16 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (4) DeMarco Glass A. Endres, D. Rombach, A Handbook of Software and Systems Engineering 1/E, Pearson Education, 2003, 2005 17 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 18 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 COCOMO WBS 1990 KKD) 30% 1992 2005 19 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (1/5) 1950 60 V.

5 Norden, 1958 Curve Fitting for a Model of Applied Research and Development Scheduling Nelson, , Management Handbook for the Estimation of Computer Programming Cost , TM 3224, SDC, 1966 169 6 Nelson Jones 20 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (2/5) 1970 Heemstra, Software cost estimation, 1992 1970 10 = n ( ) 29% Walston, Felix. A Method of Programming Measurement and Estimation" IBM Systems Journal, vol. 16, No. 1, 1977 SLIM Tp Ck Albrecht, Measuring Application Development Productivity, Proceedings of the Joint SHARE, GUIDE, and IBM Application Developments Symposium, 19793431pkTEffortCSize )2exp()(22btbtktM 21 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (3/5) 1975 A Mythical Man Month , Brooks, 1975 10 10 100 100 1 1970 22 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (4/5) 1981 COCOMO Boehm TRW COPMO(Conte , 1986)

6 A B COCOMO BYL Before You Leap COCOMO 1980 1980 Putnam, 1978; Boehm, 1981; Bailey and Basili, 1981 Basili Heemstra, Software cost estimation, 1992 1980 3 16 (Kitchenham & Taylor, 1985; Kemerer, 1987) capabilityProduct complexityRequired reliabilityTiming constraintApplicatoins experieceStorage constaintModern programming practicesSoftware toolsVirtual machine experienceTurnaround timeSchedule constraintData base sizeLanguage Experience MR,,cbacSizeaMREb 23 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved , , TBS , 1983 Basili Waltson, Felix, 1977 / < 500 295> 124 491 267 205 297 196 318 340 20624 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (5/5)

7 1990 (Briand , 1992) (J rgensen, 1995; Finnie , 1997) CART Regression tree (Srinivasan & Fisher, 1995; Kitchenham, 1998) (Mukhopadyay , 1992; Shepperd & Schofield, 1997; Walkerden & Jeffery, 1999) 1990 2000 (H st & Wohlin,1998; Stensrud & Myrtveit, 1998) CoBRA (Briand . 1998a) (Chulani , 1999)25 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved1960 .1973 Frank Freiman PRICE S 1973 Capers Jones Turk IBM automated esti mation Albrecht IBM 1979 IBM 1979 Larry Putnam Software Life Cycle Manage ment (SLIM) 1981 Boehm Rubin ESTIMACS 1985 Capers Jones SPQR/20 estimation tool 1986 International Function Point Users Group(IFPUG) 1986 Conte COPMO 1986 Gordon Group BYL Before You Leap 1987 BIS Applies System BIS/ESTIMATOR 1988 Galorath SEER SEM tool 1997 Boehm COCOMO II 2000 1980 2000 2002 50 25 Capers Jones, Software Cost estimation in 2002, Crosstalk, June, 2002 MRI 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 26 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 76 Cyclomatic 77 Software Science(HALSTEAD)

8 79 FP 87 89 MKII FP 00 COSMIC FFP 97 CoBRA 97 COCOMOII 81 COCOMO 05 NESMA(FP) 58 SLOC (Instructions) 78 SLIM 86 COMPO 90 73 PRICE S 90 88 SEER SEM 63 NELSON 93 Use Case 91 27 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved (1) (1) (1) 28 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 29 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 30 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved RFP 1 ,, 31 Copyright 2012 MRI.

9 All Rights Reserved 3 171) ( COCOMOiiBEM 32 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved 33 Copyright 2012 MRI, All Rights Reserved Email