5-1 クマ類の全国個体数に関する資料

1 - 142 - 5 5-1 5-1-1 i 2000 ii 5 5-1-2-1 r= , n=18 r= , n=18 5-1-2-1 ,1999 ,1999 ,1999 (2000; 2005) 1 , 2010 iv v AIC =1/( ) =1/( ) =1/( )

2 Vi 2000 5-1-2-2 vii 2000 - 143 - 5-1-2-2 viii 14,965 23,913 19,423 ix 5-1-2-2 222460110191437 1039281476671 9102134317202097 3088401633896 62681132182 5427892892892 3504150715071507 684285712291600 153192836 308885204323 60756659541239 82494134174 377375370 37130 30 30 365269 21 6114105211601268 2906740740740 1507700700700 3119371608845 4043403403403 8847186727713666 7119122813291430 2409220322426 5925277102 7436089119 1411173249324 3325200350500 3700171

3 171 171 275412555 1922104186269 7195380107 1475135198261 82510 10 10 6192124 7000300520740 85510 10 10 72107143 128241621919637214132044276 149651942323913 - 144 - 5-2 5-2-1 5-2-1 2003 1978 - 145 - 5-2-1 - 145 - - 146 - 5-2-2 GLM 2 5km STATISTICA p<

4 - I ( .sta) : : p - ( .sta) : : : p - 147 - - ( .sta) : : p 1 - 148 - 5-3 5-3-1 5-3-1-1 2000 2003 6 5km 1 2 41 5,988 3 3.

5 471 2 1978 5km 5-3-1-2 1 2008 12 1,584 1,550 5-3-1 5-3-1 2 2009 1 20 1 2008 4 1 5km 10 - 149 - 1 15 1 A3 2 3 3 2006 5 3 4 5km.

6 150 - 5-3-1 - 151 - 5-3-1 1 180- 2 -40403 -35354 -36365 -25256 -35357 -5959 8 -44449 -313110 -383811 -707012 -565613 8 625314 -3333 15 312916 -151517 -191918 -171719 -282820 -818121 -424222 -383823 -6161 24 -292925 -262626 -262627 -434328 -414129 -393930 -3030 31 -191932 211733 -272734 -232335 -2020 36 -242437 -171738 -202039 -3434 40 -6666 41 -2020 42 3 231843 -474744 -181845 -303046 13 453147 41- 1,8051,550 2008 12 - 152 - 5-3-1-3 1 1,550 1.

7 528 5-3-2 5-3-2 92 5-3-2 - 153 - 5-3-2 1 180--- 2 404040100%3 353535100%4 363636100%5 252525100%6 353535100%7 59595898% 8 444444100%9 313131100%10 383838100%11 707070100%12 565656100%13 625353100%14 33333297% 15 312929100%16 151515100%17 191919100%18 171717100%19 28282796%20 818181100%21 42424095%22 38383797%23 616161100% 24 29292897%25 26262492%26 26262596%27 434343100%28 41414098%29 39393897%30 30302997% 31 191919100%32 21171694%33 27272593%34 232323100%35 202020100% 36 24242396%37 171717100%38 202020100%39 34343294% 40 666666100% 41 202020100% 42 231818100%43 47474698%44 181818100%45 303030100%46 45312994%47 41--- 1,8051,5501,52899% - 154 - 2 1,528 849 548 45 1.

8 584 5-3-3 8 5 14 7 3 2 849 503 5-3-4 131 5-3-3 - 155 - 5-3-3 2 8 15 24 31 36 40 1,5841,5501, - 156 - 5-3-4 2 8 15 24 31 36 40 41 42 1,5841.

9 - 157 - 5-3-3 - 158 - 3 5km 5km 43 499 503 4 2,917 810 3,731 5-3-5 5km 2,527 597 3,124 45 5-3-6 5-3-4 - 159 - 5-3-5 5km 2 4012105301353 3511124 367458535 2543618546 35157621977 592312917146 8 4400009 31763268910 38171013013111 70434195312 56929124113 6242563114 33932335 15 3115793911916 15845176217 1921701718 171071188919 2817911010120 81492164926521 42181474419222 3817745012423 61761768 24 29211743020425 2612742810326 2615901310327 43232528 4163123329 391577179430

10 301810738145 31 192891732 2196096933 27744186234 231270199035 20139819117 36 24171012612737 1783453938 2010654711239 34168649135 40 6672953441 20171842 23000043 471542125444 1874655145 30221311814946 4513631376 1,5845032,9178103,731 - 160 - 5-3-6 5km 2 8 15 24 31 36 40 13,0532,5275973, 5km - 161 - 5-3-4 5km - 162 - 4 849 861 650 5-3-7 5-3-8 650 45 5-3-5 - 163 - 5-3-7 2