59th Annual Meeting of the AACE International 2015

1 ISBN: 978-1-5108-0934-5 59th Annual Meeting of the aace International 2015 Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 28 June - 1 July 2015 Volume 1 of 2 Printed from e-media with permission by: Curran Associates, Inc. 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY 12571 Some format issues inherent in the e-media version may also appear in this print version. Copyright ( 2015 ) by aace International , The Authority for Total Cost Management All rights reserved. Printed by Curran Associates, Inc. ( 2015 ) For permission requests, please contact aace International , The Authority for Total Cost Management at the address below. aace International , The Authority for Total Cost Management 1265 Suncrest Towne Centre Drive Morgantown, WV 26505-1876 USA Phone: (2678) | + Fax: Additional copies of this publication are available from: Curran Associates, Inc.

2 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY 12571 USA Phone: 845-758-0400 Fax: 845-758-2634 Email: Web: 2015 aace International transactions FOREWORD BUILDING INFORMATION MODELING (BIM) Strategies for BIM Adoption 1Dr. Ralph Kreider; Robert Fraga CLAIMS AND DISPUTE RESOLUTION (CDR) Forensic Schedule Analysis and Discretionary Logic 14 John C. Livengood Esq., CCP CFCC PSP Changing Trend in Risk Allocation Differing Site Conditions 31 Steven A. Collins; James G. Zack Jr., CFCC US Major Task Order Contracting and NZ Collaborative Alliances Comparison 69 Jorge Andres Rueda-Benavides; Dr. Eric Scheepbouwer; Dr. Douglas D. Gransberg, PE CCP FRICS Minimizing Financial Losses Using Builder s Risk Insurance 88 Dayna L. Anderson; Seth D. Lamden Determining the Measured Mile for Lost Productivity Claims 101Dr. Tong Zhao, PE PSP; Mark Dungan An Improved Measured Mile Methodology 118for Heavily Disrupted Projects Nelson L.

3 Gallardo Unified Evaluation Criteria for Delay and Productivity Analyses 130 Kenji P. Hoshino, CFCC PSP COST AND SCHEDULE CONTROL (CSC) Task Packaging and Project Controls 145 Adam Carver Lott Cost Increases in the Front-End of Road Projects 157 Morten Welde; James Odeck; Geir Saxeb l Causes of Commissioning Delays in Industrial Projects in Saudi Arabia 173Dr. Ali A. Shash; Asadullah Khan Drones for Project Controls and Other Uses on Construction Projects 186 Paul Levin, PSP Value of Work Done: Measurement for Oil and Gas Project 211 Dileezaa Lurthanathan; Rahmah Idris Pacing As a Delay Management Mechanism 227 Dr. Amin Terouhid; Diana Minchella; Andrew Lawrence Sargent Understanding Contractor Project Controls Capability through Request for Proposal 252 Questionnaire Julie Richards Contingency Drawdown Forecasting, Tracking, and Actual Contingency Spend Forecasting 264 Robert J.

4 White Re-Assessing KPIs and Trend Charts for Staff, PMs and Stakeholders 277 Mark Stillman; John Norwood Using Theoretical S-Curve to Forecast Project Duration Considering Past Performance 297 Rafael Gon alves Monteiro; Vinicius Oliveira Daher Scope Decomposition for Cost and Schedule Integration 312 Rohit Singh, CCP; William Manuel Diaz PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT (DEV) Leading Project Controls as a Seconded Employee on a Non-Operated Joint Venture 327 Greg J. Whiteside, CCP ESTIMATING (EST) Ten Cost Estimating Observations 341 Joe Kabeiseman The Evolution of Public Works Contracting in Brazil 355 Tatiana Thom de Oliveira; Sergio Rodovalho Pereira; Paulo Roberto Kozlowski Tannenbaum Filho The Impact of Cost Estimation Methodologies on Cost Overruns 369 Morten Welde; James Odeck; Geir Saxeb l 2015 aace International transactions Identifying Key Cost Drivers of Well Abandonment Utilizing Regression Analysis 385 John R.

5 Parson, CCT CCP; Adam Pieknik Regression-Based Estimation of Material Quantities Using Case-Based Reasoning 408Dr. Borja Garc a de Soto, PE; Bryan T. Adey Planning the Future: Methodologies for Estimating Nuclear Stockpile Cost 428 Frank Douglas Lewis; Cash Fitzpatrick; Matt Proveaux; Cole Lillard; William P. Todd Introducing an Alternative Cost Model for Detailed Construction Estimating 443Dr. Ming Lu; Dr. Fei Dai A Case for a Unified Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) 459 James Oswell, CCP; Max M. Shoura, PE PSP Estimate Review and Validation Checklist 475 Douglas W. Leo, CCP CEP EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT (EVM) Integrated Project Management Approach for EPC Energy Projects 490 Williams Chirinos CIS: Utilization of Earned Value Management for Monitoring Production Facilities 505 Elena Rybina; Dmitriy Skorobogatov; Sean T.

6 Regan, CCP CEP; Julie K. Owen, CCP PSP A Survival Guide for Using EVMS on Small EPC Projects 527 Matthew Christopher Baker, CCP CCT Comparison of Earned Schedule to EVMS Schedule and Metrics 541 Ronald L. Clendenon, EVP; Daniel Paul Muehleisen, EVP The Evolving Discipline of Project Execution 562 Richard C. Plumery, EVP; Stefan Ciuk A Critical Analysis of the ANSI/EIA Standard for EVMS and the TCM Framework 589 Dan Melamed, CCP EVP; Richard C. Plumery, EVP OWNER ISSUES (OWN) Post Occupancy Evaluation (POEs) of LEED Buildinas a Project Controls Function 611Dr. Nakisa Alborz What Is So Important About a Project Controls Plan? 626 Paul G. Williams; Stephen L. Cabano Owners Do Not Need Project Controls! Jeopardizing Project Outcomes 642 Stephen L. Cabano; Paul G. Williams A Description of Claims Management Practices: AOwner s Perspective 655 Jonathan E.

7 Haag Evaluating Social Return on Investment for Rural Infrastructure Funding Decisions 669Dr. Maria Catalina Miller; Jorge Andres Rueda-Benavides; Dr. Douglas D. Gransberg, PE CCP Implementation of a PMO at LA Metro 687 Brian James Boudreau; Julie K. Owen, CCP PSP; Michael Edward Williams Rizwan Shah; Mark W. Cohen, PE NORSOK Z-014: A 21st Century Update 705 John Graham; Mesbah A. Khan; Chris Partridge Managing a Large Mill Tailings Cleanup Project 732 Donald R. Metzler PROJECT MANAGEMENT (PM) Importance of Scheduling in Project Managemen t 749 Abbas Saifi Analysis of Construction Productivity Using Schedules Loaded with Labor and Material Resources 764Dr. Mohamed E. El-Mehalawi Understanding the Heuristics of Project Management in Canadian Oil Sands 785 Gagandeep S. Issar; Azim Aminzadah Analytical Program Management: An Evolution of More Sophisticated Program Analysis 799 Graham Gilmer; Eric Druker 2015 aace International transactions Improving Productivity through Lean Construction Implementation in a Pipeline Project 812 Jeancarlo Dur n Maica, CCP EVP; Paul Alexander Villanueva, PE Analyzing the Economic Impact of Job Order Contracting 833Dr.

8 Dean T. Kashiwagi; Jacob Kashiwagi; Kenneth T. Sullivan Project Cost Management Prior to Conceptual Design 846 Rex M. Holmlin, PE Unmanned Aerial Vehicles for Construction Management 861 Neil D. Opfer, CCP CEP PSP; Dr. David R. Shields, PE PLANNING AND SCHEDULING (PS) Railway Infrastructure Program Planning for Pre-Contract Award Works 875 Rahul S. Mulik, CCP Modelling Line of Balance Schedules with Start-Finish Relationships 893 Ricardo Viana Vargas, CCP; Felipe Fernandes Moreira Recovery Schedules and Acceleration: Two Case Studies 909 Joseph R. Hellenbrand, PE PSP Reviewing Resource Leveled Schedules Using P6 921 Ronald M. Winter, PSP Ghost Schedules What, Why and What s the Risk 951 Scott A. Beisler; James G. Zack, Jr., CFCC Lessons Learned Schedule Communication Using P6 973 Charlie Jackson, PSP; Hannah E.

9 Schumacher, PSP The Planning Fallacy and Its Effect on Realistic Project Schedules 999 Jeffrey A. Valdahl; Shannon A. Katt Using Excel VBA to Communicate Schedule Concepts 1015 Evan Hughes Leveraging BIM for Project Planning, Scheduling and Controls 1041 Abhimanyu Basu, PE Master Control Schedule - Planning and Risk Analysis Method 1060 Yaroslav Kovalenko; Martin J. Gough, ; Dr. Mark Krahn; Methods for Measuring Percentage Progress: Which One to Choose 1076 Devdas K. Tamboli, CCP PSP; Manoj Joshi The Inner Workings of Oracle/Primavera P6 1100 Ron Winter, PSP Combining Forensic Schedule Analysis Techniques 1135 Mark F. Nagata, PSP; J. Scott Lowe, PE DECISION AND RISK MANAGEMENT (RISK) Delay Principles Based on Completion Risk 1155Dr. Gui Ponce de Leon, PE; Dr. Vivek Puri Owner s Risk in a Public-Private Partnership Project 1179 Philip P.

10 Collin PE; David A. Norfleet, CCP CFCC DRMP Risk Monitoring and Control in Construction Projects 1192 Ahmad Salah; Dr. Osama El Sayed Moselhi, Risk Management Capability Assessment 1208 Louis Fussell If At First You Do Not Succeed, Then Try Risk Workshops 1222 Tom Wagner Joint Project Time and Cost Risk Analysis 1237 Bahaa Hussein; Dr. Osama El Sayed Moselhi, What to Do with Unknowns in Schedule Risk Analysis? 1258Dr. David T. Hulett Risk-Based Estimate and Risk Treatment Planning 1281Dr. Ovidiu Cretu, PE; Vlad Cretu 2015 aace International transactions TOTAL COST MANAGEMENT (TCM) The Ten Best Project Management Approaches to Avoid Claims 1298 Christopher W. Carson, CEP DRMP PSP; Glen R. Palmer, CFCC PSP Recommended Practices Provide Implementation Details for CMAA Standards of Practice 1317 Christopher W. Carson, CEP DRMP PSP On a Mission to Improve Project Performance 1334 Anita Lynn Mann; Steven Holmes TITLE AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE