全球農業發展 趨勢預測對 ... - biotaiwan.org.tw

1 21 .. 50 . 100 . 4,000 .. GDP . 32% 2% .. 2030 .. OECD .. IT .. 2050 91 2009. 33% .. 16 . 1-9 . 1 .. (IEA) 2030 .. 20 . OECD . 2 . FAO .. 10 .. 67% .. 2009 . 2050 2030 .. 1 .. FAO. 2020 2030 3,050(kcal/. capita/day) 1984~1986 . 2,655(kcal/capita/day) .. GDP . 3 . 1949~1981 . 77kg . 32 12 98 12 17. 2020 . GDP.. 2005 2020 2005 2020 . 12,457 1 28,830 2 12,457 1 28,830 1. 8,200 2 29,590 1 2,225 4 10,130 2. 4,008 3 6,795 4 4,617 2 6,862 3. 3,718 4 13,363 3 759 12 3,228 7. 2,426 5 4,857 5 2,829 3 4,980 4. 1,962 6 4,189 6 2,213 5 4,203 5. 1,905 7 3,831 7 2,132 6 3,536 6. 1,636 8 3,823 8 787 11 1,600 13. 1,630 9 2,884 10 1,720 7 2,543 10. 1,542 10 3,793 9 749 14 2,692 8. Foresight 2020 Economic, industry and corporate trends; EIU . 2 .. 6,000 .. 5,000 . MTOE.. 4,000 .. 3,000.. 2,000.. 2000~2050. 1,000.

2 0. 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 .. IEA, World Energy Outlook 2008 . 2030 . 2030 90kg(FAO) 14% . 2050 .. 2050 .. 18 . 1-9 . 3 .. World agriculture towards 2015/2030, FAO . IPCC 2100 . 1 . (FAO) 2009 .. (The World Food Summit) . 1992~2015 2015 . 410 .. (Inequality) . 2030 .. 32 12 98 12 19. 4 . 2009 1 .. 2001 .. 2030 .. 1990 . FAO . 1995~2050 . 12~15% .. (Payment for . Environmental Services) . 4 .. 44% . 1 .. 1990 .. 5 2,000 .. 20 . 1-9 . 65 7% 460 . 14% 21 . 20% (super-aged . society) 1993 . 2025 50 100 . 4,000 40 .. 5 (GDP) 32% 2% . WTO . (Gini's . Coefficient) 2001 174 2007 163 .. 2007 .. 47% .. 1991 2007 . 44% 1 .. 45 75% 30 . 32 12 98 12 21. 5 .. 6% .. 2007 . 22% O ( 2 0 0 3 ) Wo r l d A g r i c u l t u r e t o w a r d 2015~2030. (2006) Foresight 2020 Economic, industry and corporate trends.

3 (2008) World Energy Outlook 2008. 2008 . 2008 .. 22.