Climate Change and Sustainable Forest …

1 Climate Change and Sustainable Forest management in canada : A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision Making Canadian Council of Forest Ministers, 2015 This report is a product of the Climate Change Task Force of the Canadian Council of Forest of this report in French and English can be found online at or by contacting the Canadian Council of Forest Council of Forest MinistersCanadian Forest Service 580 Booth Street, 8th floor Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0E6T (613) 947 9099 F (613) 947 9033 Cover photo: Tim WilliamsonLibrary and Archives canada Cataloguing in PublicationEdwards, J. EClimate Change and Sustainable Forest management in canada : a guidebook for assessing vulnerability and mainstreaming adaptation into decision making / Edwards, C. Pearce, Ogden, and also in French under title: Changements climatiques et am nagement forestier durable au canada , guide d valuation de la vuln rabilit et d int gration des mesures d adaptation dans le processus d by: Canadian Council of Forest Ministers, Climate Change Task Force.

2 Includes bibliographical 978-1-100-25577-4 Cat. no.: Fo79-15/2015E-PDF1. Forests and forestry--Climatic factors-- canada --Handbooks, manuals, etc. 2. Forests and forestry--Risk management -- canada --Handbooks, manuals, etc. 3. Forest management --Decision making--Handbooks, manuals, etc. 4. Forest management --Environmental aspects-- canada . 5. Sustainable forestry-- canada . I. Pearce, Cindy II. Williamson, T. Ogden, A. E. (Aynslie Elizabeth), 1971- IV. Canadian Council of Forest MinistersV. Canadian Council of Forest Ministers. Climate Change Task ForceVI. E58 E39 2015 20971 C2015-980002-1 Recycled paperClimate Change and Sustainable Forest management in canada : A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision Making Edwards1, C. Pearce2, Ogden3, and Williamson1 Canadian Council of Forest Ministers Climate Change Task ForceTechnical Advisory Group 1 Natural Resources canada , Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, 5320 - 122 Street, Edmonton, AB T6H 3S52 Mountain Labyrinths Inc.

3 , Box 2029, Revelstoke, BC V0E 2S03 Government of Yukon, Box 2703, Whitehorse, YK Y1A 2C6 Canadian Council of Forest MinistersCLIMATE Change TASK FORCEA lberta Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Resource Development Stan Kavalinas, Daryl Price, Evelynne Wrangler British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Lands, and Natural Resource Operations Kathy Hopkins, Dave Peterson (Co-Chair), Jim Snetsinger (former Co-Chair)Manitoba Department of Conservation and Water Stewardship Greg Carlson, Ryan Klos, Brad Epp, Paul NikiemaNew Brunswick Department of Natural Resources Mike Bartlett, Tom Ng, Chris NorfolkNewfoundland and Labrador Department of Natural Resources Wayne Kelly, Doreen ChurchillNorthwest Territories Department of Environment and Natural Resources Tom LakustaNova Scotia Department of Natural Resources Jorg Beyeler, Jonathan KiersteadOntario Ministry of Natural Resources Paul Gray, Jenny GleesonPrince Edward Island Department of Agriculture and Forestry Dan McAskill, Kate Macquarrie Quebec Ministry of Natural Resources and Wildlife Michel Campagna, H l ne Falardeau, H lo se Le Goff, Frank MuessenbergerSaskatchewan Ministry of Environment Dwayne DyeYukon Department of Energy, Mines.

4 And Resources Aynslie Ogden, Robin SharplesNatural Resources canada Kelvin Hirsch (Co-Chair), Tim Sheldan (former Co-Chair), Tim WilliamsonCanadian Council of Forest Ministers Secretariat Marie-Eve Bonneau, Kumiko OnodaTECHNICAL ANALYSIS GROUPO ntario Ministry of Natural Resources Paul GrayQuebec Ministry of Natural Resources and Wildlife Michel CampagnaSaskatchewan Research Council Mark JohnstonYukon Department of Energy, Mines, and Resources Aynslie OgdenNatural Resources canada Jason Edwards, Kelvin Hirsch (Lead), David Price, Catherine Ste-Marie, Tim WilliamsonCanadian Council of Forest Ministers Secretariat Marie-Eve Bonneau, Kendra Isaac, Kumiko Onoda Climate Change and Sustainable Forest Managment in canada : ii A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision MakingClimate Change and Sustainable Forest management in canada : A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision Making Contents iiiForeword.

5 Vii Introduction .. Adapting to Climate Change : The Need and the Challenge .. Overview of the CCFM Framework for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Climate Change into SFM .. About this Guidebook .. Learning from Others: The Forestry Adaptation Community of Practice .. Tools and Resources for Vulnerability Assessment .. Literature Cited ..11 Chapter 1. Provide Context for Vulnerability Assessment .. Overview .. Define the Problem or Challenge .. Define the SFM System of Interest .. Confirm the Scope of the Assessment .. Literature Cited ..24 Chapter 2. Current Climate and Forest Conditions .. Overview .. Describe Climate Normals, Trends, and Variations .. Determine Relationship of Climate to Current Forest Conditions and Forest Ecosystem Processes .. Identify Changes to Forest management Practices Due to Recent Changes in Climate .

6 Key Uncertainties and Knowledge Gaps .. Literature Cited ..33 Chapter 3. Future Climate and Forest Impact Scenarios .. Overview .. Develop and Describe Future Climate Scenarios .. Develop and Describe Forest Impact Scenarios .. Literature Cited ..43 Chapter 4. Assess Vulnerability .. Overview .. Assess Impacts on SFM .. Evaluate Adaptive Capacity of the SFM System .. Assess Current and Future SFM Vulnerability .. Decision Point: Is Adaptation Required? .. Literature Cited ..52 CONTENTSC hapter 5. Adaptation Options .. Overview .. Develop Potential Adaptation Identify Important Options for Achieving SFM .. Literature Cited ..60 Chapter 6. Implementation and Mainstreaming of Adaptation .. Overview .. Prioritize and Recommend Adaptation Mainstream Adaptation Priorities.

7 Evaluate Adaptation Performance .. Literature Cited ..70 Chapter 7. The Worksheets .. Worksheets for Chapter 1 .. Worksheets for Chapter 2 .. Worksheets for Chapter 3 .. Worksheets for Chapter 4 .. Worksheets for Chapter 5 .. Worksheets for Chapter 6 .. Literature Cited ..133 Acknowledgments ..134 Appendixes ..1351. Glossary ..1362. Examples of Factors Triggering a Sustainable Forest management Vulnerability Assessment ..1413. Criteria and Indicators of Sustainable Forest management of the Canadian Council of Forest Ministers ..1424. Examples of Ecological, Economic, Social, and Cultural Factors to be Considered ..1455. Inventory of Potential Adaptation Options .. The four stages and six components of adaptation to Climate Change in the context of Sustainable Forest management .

8 Summary of each chapter within the guidebook and its associated worksheets ..8 Climate Change and Sustainable Forest Managment in canada : iv A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision MakingClimate Change and Sustainable Forest management in canada : A Guidebook for Assessing Vulnerability and Mainstreaming Adaptation into Decision Making Contents vWorksheet Tables Chapter Factors prompting a vulnerability assessment for the SFM system of interest .. Anticipated benefits of conducting a vulnerability assessment and potential consequences of not doing so .. Statement of purpose for the vulnerability assessment .. Statement of one or more outcomes for the vulnerability assessment .. Description of the managed Forest in the SFM system of interest.

9 Overview of organization or agency that is undertaking the vulnerability assessment .. Actors within the SFM system of interest .. management objectives for the SFM system of interest .. Key nonclimatic factors currently affecting your SFM Resources available to carry out the vulnerability assessment .. Confirmation of the scope of the assessment ..85 Chapter Climate data: normals and trends .. Relationships among current Climate , Forest conditions, and Forest management practices .. Recent changes to Forest management plans or practices as a result of changes in Forest conditions .. Key uncertainties and knowledge gaps about Climate , Forest conditions, or future scenarios identified during the vulnerability assessment process ..93 Chapter Description of future Climate scenarios.

10 Forest impact scenarios and overall Forest impact ranking ..100 Chapter Current and potential future impacts on the SFM system of interest .. Assessment of awareness and understanding of Climate Change and perceptions of risk related to Climate Change .. Assessment of knowledge capital .. Assessment of human capital .. Assessment of social capital .. Assessment of institutions .. Assessment of governance dynamics and institutional Change as adaptation to Climate Change .. Assess the vulnerability of SFM objectives to current and potential future Climate .. Overall vulnerability of the SFM system .. Decision about adaptation ..119 Chapter Prioritize vulnerabilities of SFM objectives .. Potential adaptation options for SFM objectives and assessment of importance of implementation.