全球能源產業趨勢研究 ... - cmr.ba.ouhk.edu.hk

1 2008 8 Vol. 11, No. 3, Aug 2008 1 2

2 3 1,367km/m 40,000km 173,000TW 1KW/m 24h 102.

3 000TW 1026W 22 500 22 4 1. 2% 15 2.

4 5 photovoltaic PV photo=light voltaics=electricity PN P N PN 1 6 1 PN

5 3,000 5,400 1980 solar module silicon 1. 2. 3. 2004 ribbon-sheet Si 7 1. 2. 3. thin film PV Culn Ga Se2 CdTe pc-Si a-Si EVA.

6 Tedlar laminate module plane/panel array controller inverter 15~18% 14~17% 1% 5% thin-film 50 60 70 200 MWP 8 1100 MWp 20 100 1900~1920 1920~1945 20 1945~1965 20 1965~1973

7 1973~1980 9 1980~1992 80 1992 1950 1972 PV PV PV 2 1 7 / 10-15 40-50 10 9% 82% 3 89% 4 Silicon Material Water ( ) Solar Cell Module System Inverter ( )

8 Hemlock Wacker SUMCO Sharp Kyocera Sanyo Shell Solar Mitsubishi Electronic RWE Schott SMA Santrex 7% 11% 20% 22% 12% US$75-85 / kg US$130-137 / kg US$ / W US$ / W US$ / W US$3,500-3,800 30-50% 25-30% 25-30% 10% 20% 20-30% PHOTON International IEK 2 1 / 7 10~15 40~50 Asimi &SGS Scanwafer Sharp Kyocera Shell Solar Scancell Mituibishi Electric Sharp Kyocera Scanmodule Mituibishi Electric Sharp Kyocera 11 BP Solar / Sanyo Solarworld RWE Schott Solar Evergreen Solar Shell Solar BP Solar / Sanyo Solarworld

9 RWE Schott Solar Evergreen Solar Photowatt GE Isofoton Kaneka First Solar Shell Solar BP Solar / Sanyo Solarworld RWE Schott Solar Evergreen Solar Photowatt GE Isofoton Kaneka First Solar Elkem Hemlock MEMC TOKUYAMY Wacker PV Crystalox JFE M. Setek PCMP Elma-Phytol Q-cells Ersol Sunways Sun PowerSolon SMD/Aleo Solar-Fabrik Solarwatt Conergy/AET IBC Sunways/MHH Phoenix SonnenStrom SAG Solarstrom 12 Mitsubishi Solarton MSK Donauer Sunset Hawi Krannich Biohaus Bihler Solarmarket 2 , 18%Tokuyama, 18%Wacker, 19%AsiMI, 10%MEMC, 10%Hemlock.

10 25% 2 3 Komats u9%SUMCO22%MEMC13%Silt ro n ic14%Shin-Es tu31% 11% 2 4 13 PV 66% 22% 12% 2004 2006 37,200 2007 52,000 2008 PV NEWS 20 PV 20% 1983 1986 6MW PV 1987 1988 1