COP21の成果と今後 - env.go.jp

1 3. 1990 2000 (2008-2012) (1992) (1997) (2005) 2020 (2010) (2011) (2013-2020) (2015) 2015 COP21 2020 2020 (1994) 2020 2005 2013 11 2010 3 2015 2020 2015 ADP 2012 2020 4 COP ADP 2020 2020 ADP COP20 ) EU)

2 COP19 2015 COP21 COP21 COP20 5 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2015 2012 2 2015 5 2015 2014 COP21 2015 1 COP20 6 20 2014 12 21 2015 11/30 12/13 2 2/8 13) - 8/31 9/4 6/ 1 10 10/19 23 6/7 8 2015 9/25 27 9/28 29 COP21 2015 3 10/30 COP 11/8 10 COP21 2015 27 17 UNFCCC 11 27 COP21 UNFCCC COP21 7 COP19 COP21 2015 1 Intended Nationally Determined Contributions.

3 INDC INDC Self-differentiation 8 I 2025 -26% -28% 2005 28% 3 31 EU 2030 -40% 1990 3 6 2030 -25 -30% 1990 4 1 2030 2013 2005 7 17 2030 -30% 2005 5 15 2030 -26 28%(2005 ) 8 11 2030 -50% 1990 2 27 2030 -40% 1990 3 27 2030 -30% 2005 7 7 I 2030 GDP CO2 -60 -65%(2005 ) 2030 CO2 6 30 2030 GDP -33 -35 2005 10 1 2030 -29%(BAU ) 9 24 2025 -37% 2005 2030 -43% 2005 9 28 2030 -37%(BAU ) 6 30 2020 2025 10 2025 2030 398 614 CO2 2010 487 IEA 9 25 < > 188 CO2 I I 8 2015 12 12 9 COP20 2015 10 1 11 1 10 30 10 1 147 119 75 2010 86 2010 2030 20 3 10 57 2030 36 2025 2030 C 87 151 2030

4 2030 2 C 2030 2050 C 2030 2 C 10 COP21 11 150 87 COP21 COP21 2020 11 I G77 1 LMDC: Like- Minded Developing Counties ALBA: Alternativa Bolivariana para las Americas (Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas) AILAC: Association of Independent Latin American and Caribbean states G EU ( NZ EU 28 EIG Environmental Integrity Group I AOSIS LDCs AILAC BASIC LMDC ALBA 12 3.)

5 21 11 30 12 13 Paris Agreement 2020 2020 2020 1000 2 C C 5 JCM 5 COP21 14 COP21 1 1 15 11/29( ) 17:00-18:00 ADP ADP 11/30( ) 10:00 11:00 19:00-21:00 COP21 140 ADP 12/1( ) 10:00- COP21 CMP11 ADP SBI SBSTA 12/2( ) 12/3( ) 12/4( ) 15:00- SBSTA SBI 12/5( ) 13:00 18:00 ADP COP Draft Paris Outcome COP COP 2 Open-ended contact group ADP 12/1-4 10 12/6( ) 16:00-19:00 2020 12/7( ) 10:00- 19:00-20:30 COP 8 12/8( ) 10:00- 19:00-20:00 COP 12/9( ) 15:00-15:30 20:00-23.

6 30 Draft Paris Outcome Version 1 COP21 2 10 2020 REDD+ 16 12/10( ) 0:00- 4:30 0:45- 6:50 21:00-21:30 23:30- 5:30 Indaba 1 / Draft Paris Outcome Version 2 COP21 Indaba of Solutions Indaba 12/11( ) 12/12( ) 11:30 13:30 19:00 19:30 Adoption of the Paris Agreement FCCC/CP/2015 COP COP 12/13( ) 0:30 COP COP21 2 17 2020 1.

7 000 COP15 18 COP21 1/3 2/3 19 COP21 OECD GEF CEO 5 JCM 19 3/3 20 LPAA JCM JCM JCM JCM JCM

8 JCM COP21 COP21 Indaba COP 3 21 COP21 12/10 21:00 Draft Paris Outcome Version 2 22 COP21 FCCC/CP/2015 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 29 21 2 4 5 6 COP21 COP 2020 23 24 Applicable to all Comprehensive 6 Durable 2025/2030 Progressive 5 2 25 a.

9 C C b. c. 2 2 4 1 global goal on adaptation 7 1 4 26 26 5 shall shall COP will 5 shall COP 2020 COP 9 12 should COP should COP 2020

10 5 27 27 COP REDD COP COP 6 28 28