Transcription of DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING
1 DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING . Ocean Freight Market Update April 2017. Content Topic Of The Month Summary: Ocean Freight Market High Level Market Development Market Outlook: Capacity And Rate Development General Market Information: Did You Know? Backup: Carrier Alliances overview GLOBAL Container Trade 2016. Acronyms and Explanations DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING | OFR Market Update | April 2017 2. Topic of the month DGF moves three million TEUs in 2016! Last year, for the first time in its history, DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING handled three million TEU's of freight across its international network. This outstanding achievement is the result of many years of steady growth, the hard work of employees around the world, and DGF's innovative products and solutions. 3'000. TEU in mio. 2'700. Over the years, DGF has been able to leverage its volumes to provide customers with extremely competitive rates.
2 With the largest LCL network of all its FORWARDING peers, DGF moves over 2 million cubic meters of freight annually. Customers have access to some 2,580 weekly direct and bilateral consolidation services, and some 45,000 point pair combinations. DGF has also added innovative products like DHL Ocean Secure, DHL. 1'240. Ocean Thermonet and Ocean View, which are all particularly attractive for customers looking to optimize their supply chains and obtain a degree of transparency previously not available with Ocean Freight. 500 Above all else, the secret to DGF's 3 million milestone is its employees. With over 4,000 ocean freight specialists around the world, DGF. serves customers from over 330 locations worldwide. 2000 2005 2010 2016. Source: DHL. DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING | OFR Market Update | April 2017 3. Ocean Freight market in a nutshell (1/4). Many regions are facing capacity reduction and tight space situations.
3 Ocean Freight Rates Outlook ASPA EURO uncertainty about phase-in/phase-out of vessel into the new alliance, thus expect utilization to remain at high 90%. Carriers are pushing for a GRI in April 2017. EURO ASPA extremely tight space situation continues. Capacity reductions heavily impacting the already tight space situation. Further rate increases are expected. ASPA AMLA several carriers have started blank sailings already and as of April 1st, 2017 space will be reduced by 12-15%. As a result an increase of rates is expected. TP EB : Strong utilization particularly into USEC. Next GRI announced for Apr 1st, 2017. WB : March GRI was mostly implemented. Vessels continue to be overbooked 3-4 weeks ahead. Pre-booking is strongly recommended. Service/Vessel/Terminal changes are already taking place in view of new carrier alliance agreements. TA drastic capacity reductions from USEC to EURO NC will be initiated by carriers in April and will continue until May (forecasted total reduction 7'000 TEU on average).
4 Rate increases are expected on trades ex USEC and Gulf. Rates ex USWC are expected to remain stable. ASPA-MENAT expect a volume increase starting mid April due to pre-Ramadan rush. GRI announced as of Apr 1st, 2017. ASPA-ASPA space continues to be extremely tight for all IPBC destination lanes. Rates increases, particularly for Pakistan and India are expected. Surcharges (in view of operational delays/issues) are being maintained and further implemented on IPBC inbound sectors. Pure Intra Asia Services are affected by the service reorganizations due to the new carrier alliances. Space/equipment levels are tightening on various Intra Asia lanes and carriers have already started to push for rate increases particularly for ex TH export lanes. Source: IHS, IHS Markit, Alphaliner, DGF team DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING | OFR Market Update | April 2017 4. Ocean Freight market in a nutshell (2/4).
5 EU, AM, MEA had a moderate, AP had the strongest growth. PMI improvement in EU, US, IN and JP. Economic Outlook Demand Development EU political risks elevated, with elections due in NL, FR, DE & possibly IT. With EU PMI signaled manufacturing activity improvement for a , EU growth expected to stay on moderate path during this year 6th month running, reaching a 70-month high in Feb Increased capital spending, improved housing market & strong momentum in US Manufacturing PMI signals rapid expansion since Oct employment growth, US economy is enjoying multiple tailwinds as long as '16. there are no big policy mistakes, bringing AMNO GDP growth to in 2017 BR Manufacturing PMI still within contracting zone, With AMLA regional GDP is expected to come out of recession in 2017, although with highest reading within past 13 months. MX. but MX's perspectives became uncertain after the new US administration took PMI remained inside positive territory for 41st successive office month, but latest reading signals subdued business GDP growth for AP as a whole remains unchanged at in 2017.
6 Negative conditions ramifications of the US presidential election on Asia mostly relate to the Both CN PMIs (Caixin and CN Government Manufacturing potential of rising trade tensions PMI) signal expansion. IN's Manufacturing PMI expanding GDP forecast for MEA was set up to for 2016 in the end of last year. More again, after a dip in Dec16. JP Manufacturing PMI signaled stable oil & commodities prices in 2017 will lead to pickup around continuous expansion. Regulations India: Charging of fees for late collection of Delivery Order are being introduced with effect from 1 Apr '17. i) mandatory to file the import entry before the end of the next day, following the day (excluding holidays) on which the vessel or aircraft arrives in India, failing which there would be imposition of charges for late presentation of the entry ii) Importers to pay the import duty on the date of presentation of the bill of entry and if he fails to pay the duty within the time so specified, he shall pay interest on the duty.
7 Given above changes, a late collection fee would be charged by DHL IN in respect of OFR shipments when DOs are collected beyond the fifth day of arrival of the vessel. Conflict in the Spanish stowage remains unsolved. No agreement has been reached between the ANESCO employers and stevedores'. unions. Source: IHS, IHS Markit, Alphaliner, DGF team DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING | OFR Market Update | April 2017 5. Ocean Freight market in a nutshell (3/4). New services are expected to be launched by carriers in the coming month. Capacity Development New alliance networks show capacity additions across the board on the main Asia-Europe & Asia-North America routes from April. Most hotly contested route will be the Asia-West Coast North America trade where 6 independent carriers will be competing against the 3 rival alliances. On the Asia-Europe route capacity increases by as the new alliances will provide one more weekly string than currently offered by the existing alliances.
8 The Asia-Med route will also see an increase in weekly capacity of as the Ocean Alliance launches 5 and THE. Alliance 3 new services, with Zim also operating a single Asia-East Med loop on its own. CMA CGM to hire 350 TEU per weekly sailing from THE Alliance on North Europe-USWC trade. HMM will continue to offer TA services after the dissolution of the G6 partnership through slots on two 2M North Atlantic services offered within the 2M+HMM' agreement, effective from April ZIM to add in April a second Asia-Pacific North West string through slots on the PNW' Service that HMM is to launch. CMA CGM and APL are to launch a new intra-Asia service connecting directly Japan with Singapore and Port Kelang, without any wayport call. COSCO will launch a new North Europe-Turkey service branded North Europe Turkey Express' (NET) in April 2017. The NET' will turn in 4.
9 Weeks with 4 ships of around 1,700 teu, calling at Felixtowe, Hamburg, Antwerp, Piraeus, Istanbul-Ambarli (Kumport) Gebze (Yilport), Izmir, Salerno, Felixtowe. The new service will cater for Europe-Turkey volumes that are so far covered with the current Europe Far East service wayporting in the Med, where containers are transshipped to/from Turkey. MSC has taken in charge the MSC LEANNE (19,462 teu), the last unit on its 20-strong newbuilding program of Korean-built 19,000+ teu ULCS. MSC LEANNE follows the MSC RIFAYA, delivered in February. After a bunkering trip from Korea to Russia it is to join the Maersk-MSC. Far East-Europe AE-1/Shogun'loop, offered within the context of the 2M agreement. MOL TRIUMPH (20,150 TEU), first of four 20,150 teu containerships ordered by MOL, will be delivered to MOL on 27th March 2017. The MOL. TRIUMPH is the first containership to pass the 20,000 mark and is the world's largest containership by nominal container intake.
10 It is scheduled to join the Asia-North Europe FE2' loop as of April 2017, one of five THE Alliance loops focusing on the Fare East-North Europe trade. Source: IHS, IHS Markit, Alphaliner, DGF team DHL GLOBAL FORWARDING | OFR Market Update | April 2017 6. Ocean Freight market in a nutshell (4/4). Carriers have been facing considerable changes with strategic alliances, fast growth and also losses. Carriers On 15 Mar 2017, the 2M partners (Maersk and MSC) and HMM signed an agreement that officially launches their strategic cooperation on East-West trades. The agreement covers a series of slot exchanges and slot purchases on the main East-West routes that will be implemented from 01 Apr 2017 and is valid for an initial period of 3 years until 01 Apr 2020. Hapag Lloyd has reported a net loss of EUR 97M for 2016. The positive earnings led by rate gains mainly on its key Latin American routes during the 2nd half of the year were insufficient to reverse the losses incurred in the 1st half.