Transcription of 浪人と留年 - eco.osakafu-u.ac.jp
1 1100401107 i 2005 SSM 1970 ii 1 .. 1 2 .. 2 3 .. 3 1 SSM .. 3 2 .. 3 3 .. 4 4 .. 6 1 .. 6 2 .. 6 3 .. 6 4 .. 7 5 .. 9 1 gretl .. 9 2 gretl .. 9 3 .. 10 4 .. 10 5 OLS .. 11 6 .. 13 .. 14 .. 15 1 1 2005 SSM 1970 2 3 4 5 6 2 2 Ono(2007) Ono(2007) (2013)
2 6 2 2000 3 3 1 SSM 2005 Social Stratification and Social Mobility SSM SSM 1 1955 1 10 A B 2 2005 9 30 20 69 13031 5742 2 19 19 5 1 1 17 1 0 18 647 0 19 207 0 20 59 0 21 16 1 22 5 600 23 4 217 24 0 75 25 1 24 26 0 15 27 0 7 28 0 0 29 0 1 30 4 4 944 944 4 1 ronin gretl Dummies for selected discrete variables woman national age 2 2 age2 3 (1) plus 4 2 2 0 862 1 54 2 23 3 3 4 2 944 100 5 (2)
3 3 3 944 31 246 28 266 29 270 6 4 2009 11 1 ()!jeP yjj 0, 0,1,2,..j ( )( )E yVar y 2 y x 'expiix '''exp( exp( )exp()( | ), 0,1,2,..!ii iiiiixy xf y xyy '( | )( | ) exp( )iiiiiE y xVar y xx 'expiix 11'expik ikxxixe 3 7 '''exp( exp( )exp()( | ), 0,1,2.))
4 !ii iiiiixy xf y xyy ''1log ( ; , )exp( ) ln !ni iiiiLy xy xxy 1 '1( exp( )) 0niiiiyxx 4 i 2 1 marginal mean effect '( | )exp( )( | )iiiliililE y xxE y xx x x ilx ( | ) / ( | )iiiililE y xE y xx 1 2 marginal probability effect i ijx 8 |iiPyj x ilx '(| )(| ) exp( )iiiiililP yj xP yj xjxx i 9 5 1 gretl gretl a Model Nonlinear models b Count data model c Dependent variable d Independent variable e Distribution poisson f OK 2 gretl gretl Model 3: Poisson, using observations 1-944 Dependent variable: plus Coefficient Std.
5 Error z p-value const ** ronin ** woman ** national < ** age ** age2 ** Mean dependent var dependent var Sum squared resid of regression McFadden R-squared Adjusted R-squared Log-likelihood Akaike criterion Schwarz criterion Hannan-Quinn Overdispersion test: Chi-square(1) = [ ] 1 10 p 10 2 5 3 1 5 5 1 2 5 Coefficient Std. Error z 2~ ( , )XN 3 gretl 4 z p ** ** < ** ** 2 ** 10 5 1 11 4 Coefficient Mean dependent var 2 49 ( )
6 F xxx 5 OLS gretl a Model Ordinary Least Squares b Dependent variable c Independent variable d OK 5 12 5 OLS t p ** ** < ** 2 13 6 1 1 1 14 SSJ 2005 SSM 2005 SSM 15 2013 3 2013 3 2009 11 Hiroshi Ono 2006 Does examination hell pay off ?
7 A cost-benefit analysis of ronin and college education in Japan Economics of Education Review
