FTTH/B Panorama - ftthcouncil.eu

1 FTTH/B PanoramaEurope (EU39) at September2017 Valencia FTTH Conference 2018 February 15th, 2018 ContactRoland MONTAGNEP rincipal Analyst+33 680 850 (HomesPassed&Subscribers) Panorama - europe (EU39) at September2017 2 StudybackgroundCopyright IDATE2018 Study background>MissiononbehalfoftheFTTHC ouncilEurope 16thedition>39countriesanalyzed Foreachcountry,IDATE providesdataperplayerforFTTH/Bandotherfi ber-basedarchitectures Eachplayerischaracterizedviadedicatedpar ameters:technical,financial,businessmode l,figures>Methodology:bottom-upapproach Deskresearch DirectcontactswithleadingplayersandIDATE spartnersinthecountries InformationexchangewithFTTHC ouncilEuropemembers>Results Bothquantitativeandqualitativedata.

2 Presentingthestatusinthecountryandthestr ategicapproachofinvolvedplayers4 General overviewand main trendsFigures at September 2017 and focus in EU28 Historical data and growing trendsMain categories of playersCopyright IDATE2018 FTTH/B figures at September2017 There were close to million FTTH/B subscribersand more than 148 million FTTH/B Homes Passed in EU39 at September 2017 Subscribers = 48%Home passed = 49%EU 28 Subscribers = 41%Home passed =35%CIS6 Historical data and growing trends>InterestingdynamismoftheEuropeanU nionsince2013>CIScountries:highergrowthr atesforsubssince2015;flatgrowthforHPbetw eenSeptember2016and2017>EU28 !

3 Source: IDATE for FTTH council EuropeGrowth of FTTH/B subscribers(million)Growth of FTTH/B Homes Passed(million)70102030405060 Dec2010 Dec2011 Dec2012 Dec2013 Dec2014 Sept2015 Sept2016 Sept2017EU39 CISEU28050100150200 Dec2010 Dec2011 Dec2012 Dec2013 Dec2014 Sept2015 Sept2016 Sept2017EU39 CISEU28 Copyright IDATE2018>Around400analyzedFTTH/Bproject sinEU39atSeptember2017: Therearelessandlessnewprojectsfromoneyea rtoanother Allmajoroperatorsareinvolvedineachcountr y,amongwhich35incumbentsatleast Therewillprobablybemoreandmoresmallplaye rsinvolvedinlocaldeploymentinthecomingye ars(RuralandSuburban)>Incumbentsnowrepre sent42%ofthetotalnumberofHomesPassed Thisratiowasonly21%atend2011 Alternativeplayers,whichpromotedFTTH/Bin mostcountriessince2008-2009,nowrepresent 54%ofthetotalnumberofHP;thisratioisincre asing>Themarketisclearlydominatedbythose twocategoriesofplayers.

4 >Butmunicipalities/LocalAuthorities,alon gwithutilitieswhenappropriate,willremain thoseonesthatwillhelpensureanexhaustivec overageattermSource:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEurope%ofHomesPassedpercategoryofp layerMajor projects / categories of players842%4%54%Sept. 2017 Leading countriesGeneral ranking HP & subscribersHighest growthsKey PointsCopyright IDATE201805101520253035404550 Dec 2014 Sept 2015 Sept 2016 Sept 2017+13%+18%+13%>18countrieswith2 MHPormoreinEU39(12countriesinEU28,inblue onthemap)>Mostsignificantgrowthratesdono tnecessarilyconcernthelargestmarketbutth isconfirmsthat,evenincountrieswhereFTTH/ BisnottheleadingNGAsolution,theinteresti sgrowing( :+46%andUK:+31%)Source:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEuropeCountries with 2 M HP or more at Sept 2017 [Top 5 Growth annual rates ](million)General ranking.

5 FTTH/B Homes Passed+ +46%+31%> 2 M HPCopyright IDATE201801020304050607080 Dec 2014 Sept 2015 Sept 2016 Sept 2017>19countrieswith2 MSocketsdeployedormoreinEU39(12countries inEU28,inblueonthemap).> (overlap).>Mostsignificantgrowthratesins ocketsdeployedbyplayerswereobservedin:Po land,Italy,UK,France,Spain,PortugalSourc e:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEuropeCountries with 2 M Optical Sockets or more at Sept 2017 [Top 6 Growth rates for 9 first months 2017](million)General ranking: FTTH/B Optical Sockets Deployed New this Year !!!+24%+46%+31%> 2 M HP+31%+22%+35%Copyright IDATE2018 Source:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEuropeTopcountriesincoverageatSept ember2017 General ranking : FTTH/B coverage12 Spain: 98%Luxembourg: 64%Portugal: 88%Sweden: 93%Norway: 88%Andorra: 100%Lithuania: 97%Russia: 95%Iceland: 95%Bulgaria: 97%Latvia: 98%AverageFTTH/Bcoveragestablein2017(*).

6 EU39 45%EU28 33%(*)NumberofHP/totalnumberofHouseholds Copyright IDATE201801234567 Dec 2014 Sept 2015 Sept 2016 Sept 2017 11countrieswith1 MsubscribersormoreinEU39(6countriesinEU2 8,inredonthemap) Russiawithnearly19 Msubscribersisleadingbyfar(+11%growthYoY ) notpresentonthegraphbelow) StronggrowthinBelarus,Germany,PolandandU K DynamismtohighlightinFrance,SpainandItal ySource:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEuropeCountries with 200 K subs or more at Sept 2017 [Top Growth rates for 9 first months 2017](million)General ranking: FTTH/B Subscribers+36%+34%+58%13+20%+67%+55%+44 %> 1 M subsCopyright IDATE2018 Source:IDATEforFTTHC ouncilEuropeTop10countriesofmorethan200 Ksubsintake-uprateatSeptember2017 General ranking : FTTH/B take-up rate14 Romania: 51%Sweden: 49%Belarus: 68%AverageFTTH/Btakeuprate(*):EU39 35%EU28 32%(*)Takeuprate=numberofsubscribers/num berofHomesPassedFinland: 44%Latvia: 47%Andorra: 59%Belgium: 48%Czech Rep.

7 : 61%Estonia : 48%Lithuania : 47%European rankingCopyright IDATE2018 European ranking at September 2017 TheEuropeanRankingincludescountriesofmor ethan200 KHHwherethepartofFTTH/Bsubsinthetotalnum berofHHisatleast1% With14/33 Europeancountrieswithapenetrationrate>20 %Source: IDATE for FTTH council Europe1 new entrant by Sept. 2017 Mature markets(blue) Fibre-to-the-Home subscribers (orange) Fibre-to-the-Building subscribersKey conclusionsCopyright IDATE2018> >Eventhe reluctant !> >Governmentsandlocalauthoritiesarenowcle arlyinthegameandtheDigitalAgendaisoneoft hemainimportantobjectivestoachieve.>DAE smainrequirementsarerespectedinallEU28co untries LocalauthoritiesaremoredynamicinScandina viancountriesandinFrance:theyshouldimpul seanewdynamictoreachmoreruralareasandinc ountrieswhereFTTH/Bislaggingfarbehindoth erarchitectures FrenchModel asanexampleforEurope?

8 (inPolandaround60regionsengagedindeployi ngFTTHOpenAccesNetwork) OpenFiberinItalyhasbeenthemostdynamicpla yerinFTTH deployment( )>HighesttakeupratesinNorthernandEastern countries:stillstrongcompetitionfromothe rarchitectureselsewhere. Nearlyallplayers,eveniflessinvolvedinFTT H/Bthanotherarchitectures,considerthatFT TH istheendgame!..and5 GwillneedFibre!Key conclusions18 Copyright IDATE2018 Global ranking at September 2017 TheGlobalRankingincludescountriesofmoret han200 KHHwherethepartofFTTH/Bsubsinthetotalnum berofHHisatleast1%Source: IDATE for FTTH council europe (blue) Fibre-to-the-Home subscribers (orange) Fibre-to-the-Building subscribersStrong leadership from Gulf countries and AsiaMauritius, Uruguayand Latvia in the Top 1020 Enlightenyourdigital future!

9 EXPERTISE CONSULTING NETWORKING@IDATEDigiWorld ContactRoland MONTAGNEP rincipal Analyst+33 680 850 !!