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Guide to Retirement SM - J.P. Morgan

Retirement INSIGHTSG uide to Retirement2016 EditionRETIREMENT INSIGHTSSM22 Table of contents Retirement landscape Factors that shape today s Retirement experience Saving Behaviors and best practices while saving for Retirement Spending Behaviors and considerations for living in Retirement InvestingBuilding a Retirement portfolio Reference414212937S. Katherine Roy, CFP Chief Retirement StrategistSharon Carson, CRPC Retirement StrategistLena Rizkallah, Morgan Retirement STRATEGIST TEAMC ertified Financial Planner Board of Standards Inc.

RETIREMENT INSIGHTS Guide to Retirement 2016 Edition RETIREMENT INSIGHTS SM. 2 Table of contents 2 Retirement landscape Factors that shape today’s retirement experience ... expectations for how they wish to spend their retirement years. Many planning factors are interconnected,

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Transcription of Guide to Retirement SM - J.P. Morgan

1 Retirement INSIGHTSG uide to Retirement2016 EditionRETIREMENT INSIGHTSSM22 Table of contents Retirement landscape Factors that shape today s Retirement experience Saving Behaviors and best practices while saving for Retirement Spending Behaviors and considerations for living in Retirement InvestingBuilding a Retirement portfolio Reference414212937S. Katherine Roy, CFP Chief Retirement StrategistSharon Carson, CRPC Retirement StrategistLena Rizkallah, Morgan Retirement STRATEGIST TEAMC ertified Financial Planner Board of Standards Inc.

2 Owns the certification marks CFP , CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER and CFP in the , which it awards to individuals who successfully complete CFP Board s initial and ongoing certification Retirement landscape 5 The Retirement equation6 Life expectancy probabilities7 Older Americans in the workforce8 Managing expectations of ability to work9 Social Security timing tradeoffs10 Maximizing Social Security benefits 11 Older individuals experience higher inflation 12 Spending and inflation13 Historic income tax rates Saving15 Retirement savings checkpoints16 Benefit of saving

3 And investing early17 Savings rate18 The toxic effect of loans and withdrawals19 Evaluate a Roth20 The power of tax-deferred compounding Spending22 Dollar cost ravaging timing risk of withdrawals23 Changes in spending24 Effects of withdrawal rates and portfolio allocations25 Rising annual health care costs in retirement26 Variation in Medicare Advantage costs27 Long-term care planning28 Annual cost of nursing home care (private room)Page reference Investing30 Goals-based wealth management31 Structuring a portfolio to match investor goals in retirement32 Structuring a portfolio in Retirement : The bucket strategy33 Maintain a diversified approach and rebalance 34 Diversification35 Impact of being out of the market36 Major asset classes vs.

4 Inflation Reference37 Traditional IRAs vs. Roth IRAs 2015/201638 Retirement plan contribution and deferral limits 2015/201639 Options to consider when retiring or changing jobs40 What is Medicare?41 65 and working: Should I sign up for Medicare?42 Annuity basics43 A closer look at tax rates 201644 Top state income tax rates 201644 Retirement landscapeRetirement is different now than it was in past generations. These days, individuals have varying expectations for how they wish to spend their Retirement years.

5 Many planning factors are interconnected, which require careful consideration when developing a Retirement strategy. COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS I ll continue to work during Retirement . 67% of employed Americans plan to work beyond age 65 but only 23% of current retirees actually did. A number of factors can cause people to retire earlier than expected, including health problems, employer issues and family obligations. Page 8 I need to claim my Social Security benefits as soon as I can. Claiming Social Security before full Retirement age can significantly reduce your benefits.

6 Page 9 Increasing life expectancies may make it beneficial to delay benefits. Page 10 My spending patterns won t change much when I retire. The inflation rate is higher for Retirement -age Americans who spend disproportionately more on items that rise fastest in price, such as health care. Pages 11 and 12 Retirement landscapeLongevitySaving vs. spendingEmploymentearnings anddurationMarketreturnsPolicy regardingtaxation, savingsand benefitsAsset allocationand locationTOTAL CONTROLOUT OF YOURCONTROLSOME CONTROLRETIREMENTS ource: The Importance of Being Earnest, Morgan Asset Management, SOUND Retirement PLANMake the most of the things that you can control but be sure to evaluate factors that are somewhat or completely out of your control.

7 The Retirement equation5 Retirement landscape66 Retirement landscapeLife expectancy probabilities Chart: Social Security Administration, Period Life Table, 2011 (published in 2015), Morgan Asset : Social Security Administration 2015 OASDI Trustees ON LONGEVITYA verage life expectancy continues to increase and is a mid-point not an end-point. Plan on the probability of living much longer perhaps 30 plus years in Retirement and invest a portion of your portfolio for growth to maintain your purchasing power over you re 65 today.

8 The probability of living to a specific age or beyond100%80%60%40%20%0%75 years80 years85 years90 years95 years100 yearsPercent85%72%54%33%13%3%79%62%42%22 %7%1%97%90%74%47%19%4%WomenMenCouplen Womenn Menn Couple at least one lives to specific life expectancy at age 6577 Older Americans in the workforceIT S STILL OFF TO WORK I GO More people are working later in life, motivated by the desire to do so. Retirement landscapeMajor reasons why people work in retirementPercent of people in the civilian labor force 1994-20247 65-69 70-74 75-79 Stay active and involvedEnjoy workingJob opportunityTry new career10%20%30%40%50%60%0%NeedsWants40%3 5%30%25%20%15%10%5%019942004201420242212 728159192314321136 Decreased value ofsavings or investments21%Buy extras26%Make ends meet25%Keep insurance or benefits23%56%54%24%8%Total civilianpopulation 65+ Age 65+31M35M45M62 MStay active and involvedEnjoy

9 WorkingJob opportunityTry new career10%20%30%40%50%60%0% value ofsavings or investments21%Buy extras26%Make ends meet25%Keep insurance or benefits23%56%54%24%8%Source (top chart): Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, December 2015. Actual data to 2014 and projection in 2024. Civilian population age 65+ is non-institutionalized (bottom chart): Employee Benefit Research Institute, Mathew Greenwald & Associates, Inc., 2014 Retirement Confidence Survey. Data as of March 2014. Latest available data through December 31, expectations of ability to workSource: Employee Benefit Research Institute, Mathew Greenwald & Associates, Inc.

10 , 2015 Retirement Confidence Survey. Data as of March landscapeEARLY RETIREMENTYou may not have complete control over when you retire, so be sure to have a back-up plan. You may have to draw income earlier and make your portfolio last longer than you ofactual retireesCurrent workers expectations0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%Outda ted skillsWant to do something elseearly retirementAble to a ord60%Health problems or disabilityPercentChanges at company(downsizing/closing)Other work- related reasonCare for spouse or family memberMedian Retirement Age65 = Workers (expected)62 = Retirees (actual)Expectations of workers vs.


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