Introduction to Statistical Inference - Harvard University

Basic Principles of Statistical Inference

Basic Principles of Statistical Inference Kosuke Imai Department of Politics Princeton University POL572 Quantitative Analysis II Spring 2016 Kosuke Imai (Princeton) Basic Principles POL572 Spring 2016 1 / 66

  Principles, Statistical, Inference, Principles of statistical inference

Causal Directed Acyclic Graphs - Harvard University

Causal Directed Acyclic Graphs Kosuke Imai Harvard University STAT186/GOV2002 CAUSAL INFERENCE Fall 2019 Kosuke Imai (Harvard) Causal DAGs Stat186/Gov2002 Fall 20191/16. ... 1 Identify all paths from any vertex in A to any vertex in B 2 Check if each path isblocked 3 If all paths are blocked, then A is d-separatedfrom B by C

  Path, Graph

A General Approach to Causal Mediation Analysis

approach to the panel data settings (e.g., Cole & Maxwell, 2003; MacKinnon, 2008, Chapter 8), and multiple (e.g., MacKinnon, 2000; Preacher & Hayes, 2008) and multilevel (e.g., Krull & MacKinnon, 1999) mediators, all of which are beyond the scope of the current article. A Running Example: The Job Search Intervention Study (JOBS II)

  Study, Approach, Multilevel

POL 571: Convergence of Random Variables

model because in theory one can obtain the infinite number of random sample from the population (hence, the population size is infinite). In the social sciences, this often requires one to think about ... implies that the marginal distribution of X i is the same as the case of sampling with replacement. 1.

  Model, Marginal

POL571 Lecture Notes: Expectation and Functions of Random ...

Finally, we emphasize that the independence of random variables implies the mean independence, but the latter does not necessarily imply the former. Theorem 2 (Expectation and Independence) Let X and Y be independent random variables. Then, the two random variables are mean independent, which is defined as, E(XY) = E(X)E(Y).

  Lecture, Variable, Random, Random variables

Measuring the Economic Impact of Civil War

5 Improving Estimation 13 ... Wars that spill out across the entire country, require the highest level of military recruitment, and result in the greatest number of fatalities are the most damaging to the domestic economy. This paper also makes methodological improvements. First, we improve the data.

  Civil, Spill, Estimation, Civil war

mediation: R Package for Causal Mediation Analysis

mediation analysis under the assumption of sequential ignorability. Many of these function-alities are described in detail inImai et al. (2010b), but the current version of the package accommodates a larger class of statistical models. The model-based causal mediation analysis proceeds in two steps. First, the researcher speci-

  Analysis, Packages, Mediation, Casual, Package for causal mediation analysis

Survival Data Analysis - Harvard University

King, Alt, Burns, and Laver (1990). AJPS Censoring: 12 months prior to the end of the constitutional inter-election period Is censoring independent? Kosuke Imai (Princeton) Survival Data POL573 Fall 2015 8 / 39

  Survival, Jpas

What is revolution - Columbia University

the ExEAS Asian Revolutions in the Twentieth Century website.) The twentieth century was an age of revolution in much of Asia. One factor promoting radical change in many Asian nations was the pressure of Euro-American imperialism, starting in the 19th century. As England, then France, Germany, and the United States

  What, University, Columbia university, Columbia, Revolution, What is revolution

The Age of Enlightenment - Database of K-12 Resources

The Age of Enlightenment Overview ... rights and political independence (i.e., the political reforms and revolutions promoted by Simón Bolívar and Father Hidalgo.) 10. On the due date, teachers should allow time in class for each group to present their party plans to the

  Revolution, Enlightenment, The age of enlightenment

THE PAST AND PRESENT OF COMPARATIVE POLITICS …

the evolution of comparative politics was punctuated by two revolutions: the behavioral revolution, that had its greatest impact on comparative politics during the immediate post–World War II years until the mid-1960s, and the second scientific revolution, that started around the end of the Cold War and is still ongoing.

  Politics, Comparative, Revolution, Comparative politics

Evolution of the Information Age: 1960 2040 - SITES dot MIIS

revolutions combined. By about 2040, when the last cycle of the information age is complete, the Web will have set into motion a transformation of life and society upon which humanity will eventually escape the desperation of poverty and the chains of authoritarian governments.

  Revolution

What Are Turning Points in History, and What Were They …

The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (chicago:university of chicago press,1962),p.92. 12. erik p.rau e-mail to author,“turning points in history,”17august 2006,copy in possession of author. 13. a noncosmological use of this term may be found in ray Kurzweil, The Singularity Is Near:When Humans Transcend Biology (new York:Viking, 2005).

  What, Points, History, Revolution, Turning, And what, Are turning points in history

Ho Chi Minh (1890-1969) - Columbia University

1969 Ho Chi Minh died on September 2 at the age of seventy-nine. Vietnam after Ho Chi Minh Due to domestic protests against U.S. military involvement in Vietnam, the U.S. slowly began to pull its forces out of Vietnam, completely withdrawing military support in 1973. Despite the massive U.S. bombing raids that had crippled the

  University, Columbia university, Columbia, Nimh, Ho chi minh

Evolution and Revolution as Organizations Grow

1. Age of the or ganization. 2. Size of the organization. 3. Stages of evolution. 4. Stages of revolution. 5. Growth rate of the industry. I shall describe each of these elements separately, but first note their combined effect as illustrated in Exhibit I. Note especially how each dimension influences the other over time;