National Development Plan 11 Volume 1 April 2017 – March …

1 National Development plan 11 Volume 1 April 2017 March 2023 ISBN: 978-99968-465-2-6iTABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS .. I LIST OF TABLES .. V LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES .. VI LIST OF MAPS .. VII LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS .. VIII FOREWORD .. XIII INTRODUCTION .. XV CHAPTER 1 .. 1 COUNTRY AND PEOPLE .. 1 1 CONSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK .. 1 Judiciary .. 2 The Executive .. 2 GEOGRAPHY .. 5 Physical Features .. 5 Surface Hydrology .. 6 Weather and Climate .. 6 Soil and Vegetation .. 7 Natural Resources .. 8 Demographic Patterns .. 9 Languages and Religion .. 11 Membership of International Organisations .. 11 CONCLUSION .. 11 CHAPTER 2 .. 13 POPULATION AND Development .. 13 13 REVIEW OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE POPULATION POLICY IN NDP 10 .. 14 POPULATION SITUATION AND Development PROSPECTS .. 18 SUSTAINABLE Development GOALS .. 25 CONCLUSION .. 28 CHAPTER 3 .. 29 REVIEW OF ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10 .. 29 29 ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10.

2 29 NDP 10 Economic Growth Strategic Thrust .. 29 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Rates .. 29 Government Budget .. 38 Implementation Capacity during NDP 10 .. 40 Export Diversification during NDP 47 EMPLOYMENT CREATION DURING NDP 10 .. 49 POLICY ENVIRONMENT DURING NDP 10 .. 52 iiMacroeconomic Policy .. 52 Fiscal Policy .. 52 Monetary Policy .. 53 Exchange Rate Policy .. 53 Microeconomic Policy .. 54 CONCLUSION .. 56 CHAPTER 4 .. 57 MACROECONOMIC STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 57 57 STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 59 Developing Diversified Sources of Economic Growth .. 59 Domestic Expenditure as a Source for Growth and Employment Creation .. 62 Export-Led Growth Strategy .. 63 Conducive Environment for the Private Sector to Grow the Economy and Employment Creation .. 65 Regulatory Framework for Doing Business and Global Competitiveness .. 65 Governance, Safety and Security .. 66 Infrastructure .. 66 Information and Communication Technology .. 66 CONCLUSION.

3 67 CHAPTER 5 .. 69 MACROECONOMIC PROJECTIONS FOR NDP 11 .. 69 69 SECTORAL STRATEGIES UNDERPINNING GDP PROJECTIONS .. 69 Export-Led Growth Strategy .. 69 Infrastructure Development .. 70 Investment in Information and Communication Technology (ICT) .. 70 Improved Quality of Education and Training .. 70 Improvement of Productivity in the Economy .. 71 Research, Innovation and Development .. 71 PROJECTIONS UNDER BASE CASE SCENARIO .. 71 GDP Projections .. 71 Government Budget Projections .. 74 Summary of Government Budget Projections .. 79 PROPOSED FISCAL RULE FOR NDP 11 .. 81 CONCLUSION .. 82 CHAPTER 6 .. 83 ECONOMY AND EMPLOYMENT .. 83 83 REVIEW OF THEMATICAREA .. 84 PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10 .. 84 Doing Business .. 84 Infrastructural Development .. 96 Human Resources Development .. 101 CHALLENGES FACED DURING NDP 10 .. 105 Agriculture Sub Sector .. 105 Transport Sub Sector .. 106 iiiStatistics Sub Sector .. 106 Infrastructure Sub Sector .. 106 Insufficient ICT Connectivity.

4 106 Education Sub Sector .. 107 CROSS CUTTING CHALLENGES .. 108 STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 108 Developed Infrastructure .. 108 Conducive Business Environment .. 112 Diversified Industries .. 114 Improved Quality and Relevance of Education and Training .. 119 Productive Human Resource .. 120 Domestic and Foreign Direct Investment .. 123 National Entrepreneurial Policy and Strategy .. 125 PROGRAMME SUMMARIES FOR NDP 11 .. 125 Facilities Management .. 126 Infrastructure Development .. 126 Sectoral 128 CONCLUSION .. 130 CHAPTER 7 .. 132 SUSTAINABLE ENVIRONMENT .. 132 INTRODUCTION .. 132 REVIEW OF THE THEMATIC AREA .. 133 PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10 .. 133 Environmental Protection Programme .. 133 Natural Resources Management Programme .. 136 EMERGING ISSUES FROM NDP 10 .. 141 Infrastructure Development Impact to the Environment .. 141 Behavioural Changes and Environmental Compliance .. 141 Environmental Information Management for Decision Support .. 141 Coordination and Governance of Environmental Management.

5 141 Un-Sustainable Agricultural Practices .. 142 Land Management .. 142 STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 142 A Healthy Environment for a Healthy Population .. 142 Sustainable Management of Natural and Cultural Resources .. 142 Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation .. 143 Sustainable Human Settlements .. 143 PROGRAMME SUMMARIES FOR NDP 11 .. 144 Programmes for Environmental Protection .. 144 Programmes for Management of Natural Resources .. 145 CHAPTER 8 .. 150 GOVERNANCE, SAFETY AND SECURITY .. 150 150 ivREVIEW OF THE THEMATIC AREA PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10 .. 150 Achievements under the Governance Sector .. 150 Achievements under Safety and Security Sector .. 157 CHALLENGES DURING NDP 10 .. 163 Governance Sector Challenges .. 163 Safety and Security Sector Challenges .. 164 STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 165 Governance Sector .. 165 National Security and Safety Sector .. 167 PROGRAMME SUMMARIES FOR NDP 11 .. 171 Governance Sector Programmes .. 171 Safety and Security Sector Programmes.

6 174 CONCLUSION .. 176 CHAPTER 9 .. 177 SOCIAL UPLIFTMENT .. 177 177 REVIEW OF THE THEMATIC AREA PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 10 .. 177 Achievements under Social Development Focal Area .. 177 CHALLENGES EXPERIENCED DURING NDP 10 .. 184 Challenges in the Social Development Focal Area .. 184 Challenges in the Health Focal Area .. 185 STRATEGIES FOR NDP 11 .. 185 Social Development Strategies .. 185 Health Strategies .. 187 PROGRAMME SUMMARIES FOR NDP 11 .. 189 Social Protection Programmes .. 189 Health Programmes .. 190 CONCLUSION .. 193 CHAPTER 10 .. 195 MONITORING AND EVALUATION .. 195 195 REVIEW OF M&E DURING NDP 195 Achievements in establishing the NMES during NDP 10 .. 197 Challenges during NDP 10 .. 197 Lessons Learnt during NDP 10 .. 198 MONITORING AND EVALUATION STRATEGIES DURING NDP 11 .. 200 CONCLUSION .. 204 vLIST OF TABLES Table : District/City/Town Councils, Sub-Districts and Population .. 4 Table Demographic Indicators: 1971 to 2011.

7 10 Table : Population Policy Targets and their Status at the End of NDP 10 .. 15 Table : Comparison of SDGs, NDP 11 and Vision 2036 Framework Priorities .. 26 Table : NDP 10 Targets and Actual GDP Growth Rates (%) .. 30 Table : Three Year Moving Averages for Real GDP Growth Rates (%) .. 30 Table : GDP Growth Rates by Major Sectors (%) .. 35 Table : Sectoral Growth rates and Contribution to GDP Growth (%) .. 36 Table : NDP 10 Projected, Actual and Revised Government Budget (P billion, Constant Prices, 2008) .. 38 Table : Government Net Financial Asset Position (P million) .. 45 Table : Formal Sector Employment Growth Rates (%), 2009-2015 .. 50 Table : Parastatal & Private Sector Contribution to Overall Formal Employment by sub-sector, (%) 2009-2015 .. 51 Table : Real GDP Growth Rate Projections (%): 2017/18-2022/23 .. 73 Table : NDP 11 Government revenues & Expenditure (P million) at Current Prices .. 75 Table : NDP 11 Real GDP Growth Rates under the Different Scenarios (%).

8 77 Table : NDP 11 Government Budget Summary by Various Scenarios (P million) .. 80 Table : Performance of Tourism in the Context of the Overall Economy (P billion) .. 88 Table : Primary Schools Net Enrolment Rate 2009 - 2014 .. 101 Table : Transition Rates Junior to Senior Actual against NDP 10 Target (including transition to Vocational Education) .. 102 Table : Country Data Report for Botswana on Aggregate Indicators, 2009-2015 .. 151 Table : Corruption Perception Ratings for Botswana: 2009 - 2015 .. 155 Table : Violent and Serious Offences per Population: 2009 - 2015 .. 158 Table : Motor Vehicle Road Accidents Trends and Rates: 2009 - 2015 .. 159 Table : Social Protection Programmes .. 178 Table : Destitute Housing in RADP Settlements .. 179 Table : Country-Wide Destitute Housing .. 179 Table : Country-Wide NDP 10 Social Housing Projects .. 180 Table : Progress on the Achievement of Health Indicators .. 182 viLIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES Chart : The Botswana Government Organisational Chart.

9 3 Figure : Population Sex and Age Structure (2011) .. 19 Figure : Household Final Consumption Real Growth Rates, 31 Figure : Gross Fixed Capital Formation Growth Rates, 2009-2015 .. 32 Figure : Government Final Consumption Growth Rates, 2009-2015 .. 32 Figure : Net Merchandise Exports 2008-2015 .. 33 Figure : Net Merchandise Exports and Net Services Exports (P million), 2008-2015 .. 34 Figure : Contribution to Value Added (Current Prices) by the Four Key Sectors (%) .. 37 Figure : Projected and Actual Total Government Spending (Pula Billion Constant prices, 2008) .. 39 Figure : Ratio of Government Expenditure to Real GDP (%), 2009/10-2015/16 .. 40 Figure : Actual Spending as a Percentage of the Original Budget, 2009/10-2015/16 .. 41 Figure : Actual & Projected Crude Sustainability Index, 2009/10-2015/16 .. 42 Figure : Government Debt as % of GDP, 2009/10-2015/16 .. 43 Figure : Government Net Financial Position, 2009/10-2015/16 (P million).

10 46 Figure : Positions of Different BoP Accounts, 2008-2015 .. 47 Figure : Traditional and Non-Traditional Exports, 2008-2015 .. 47 Figure : Composition of Traditional Exports, 2008-2015 .. 48 Figure : Percentage Share of Merchandise & Service Exports, 2004-2014 .. 49 Figure : Sectoral Contribution to Formal Employment (2009 2015) .. 51 Figure : NDP 11 Projected shares of Major Sources of Revenues (%) .. 76 Figure : NDP 11 Non-Mining Private Sector Share of GDP .. 78 Figure : Botswana s Doing Business Rankings .. 84 Figure : International Tourist Arrivals (1996 -2013) .. 87 Figure Employment Opportunities Created by the Tourism Sector (2012-2015) .. 88 Figure : FDI Stocks 2010 - 2014 (P million).. 90 Figure : Transition Rate from Junior to Senior Secondary (2009-2016) .. 102 Figure : Tertiary Education Student Enrolment Trend from 2003/04 to 2014/15 .. 103 Figure : Domestic Investment in Pula .. 117 Figure : Trends of Poaching Incidents (2010 2015).