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National Economic Indicators - richmondfed.org

National Economic IndicatorsDecember 14, 2020 Table of ContentsGDPR elease DateLatest PeriodPageTable: Real Gross Domestic Product Nov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20204 Real Gross Domestic ProductNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20205 Decomposition of Real Gross Domestic ProductNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20206 HouseholdsRetail SalesNov-17-2020 08:30 Oct-20207 Consumer Spending and IncomeNov-25-2020 10:02 Oct-20208 Sales of Automobiles and Light TrucksDec-01-2020 17:25 Nov-20209 Personal Saving RateNov-25-2020 10:02 Oct-202010 Household Net WorthDec-10-2020 12:07Q3-202011 Existing Single-Family Home SalesNov-19-2020 10:00 Oct-202012 New Single-Family Home SalesNov-25-2020 10:00 Oct-202013 Private Single-Family Housing Starts & PermitsNov-18-2020 08:30 Oct-202014 Private Multi-Family Housing Starts & PermitsNov-18-2020 08:30 Oct-202015 Business InvestmentReal Investment in Nonresidential StructuresNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202016 Real Private Construction Put in PlaceDec-01-2020 10:00 Oct-202017 Real Nonresidential Fixed InvestmentNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202018 Real Investment in EquipmentNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202019 Real Investment in Intellectual PropertyNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-2020

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics. July August September Income 0.2 0.2 0.1 Expenditures 0.3 0.4 0.3 Month over Month % Change. Note: Income has been adjusted to account for temporary fiscal actions in 2008 and 2012- 2013. 9. Sales of Automobiles & Light Trucks.

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Transcription of National Economic Indicators - richmondfed.org

1 National Economic IndicatorsDecember 14, 2020 Table of ContentsGDPR elease DateLatest PeriodPageTable: Real Gross Domestic Product Nov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20204 Real Gross Domestic ProductNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20205 Decomposition of Real Gross Domestic ProductNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-20206 HouseholdsRetail SalesNov-17-2020 08:30 Oct-20207 Consumer Spending and IncomeNov-25-2020 10:02 Oct-20208 Sales of Automobiles and Light TrucksDec-01-2020 17:25 Nov-20209 Personal Saving RateNov-25-2020 10:02 Oct-202010 Household Net WorthDec-10-2020 12:07Q3-202011 Existing Single-Family Home SalesNov-19-2020 10:00 Oct-202012 New Single-Family Home SalesNov-25-2020 10:00 Oct-202013 Private Single-Family Housing Starts & PermitsNov-18-2020 08:30 Oct-202014 Private Multi-Family Housing Starts & PermitsNov-18-2020 08:30 Oct-202015 Business InvestmentReal Investment in Nonresidential StructuresNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202016 Real Private Construction Put in PlaceDec-01-2020 10:00 Oct-202017 Real Nonresidential Fixed InvestmentNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202018 Real Investment in EquipmentNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202019 Real Investment in Intellectual PropertyNov-25-2020 08:40Q3-202020 TradeBalance of International TradeDec-08-2020 08:32 Oct-202021 Exchange Value of the USDNov-24-2020 09:04 Nov-202022 Manufacturing Industrial ProductionNov-17-2020 09:15 Oct-202023 Capacity Utilization Rate: ManufacturingNov-17-2020 09:15 Oct-202024 Indexes of Manufacturing ActivityDec-01-2020 10.

2 01 Nov-202025 Indexes of Non-Manufacturing ActivityDec-03-2020 10:05 Nov-202026 Table: ISM Business Survey IndexesDec-01-2020 10:01 Nov-202027 Manufacturers' New OrdersDec-04-2020 10:00 Oct-202028 Core Capital GoodsDec-04-2020 10:00 Oct-202029 Business Inventory/Sales RatiosDec-09-2020 10:02 Oct-202030(continued)Labor MarketRelease DateLatest PeriodPageNonfarm Payroll EmploymentDec-04-2020 08:30 Nov-202031, 32 Unemployment Rate MeasuresDec-04-2020 08:30 Nov-202033,34 Non-Employment IndexDec-10-2020 16:24 Nov-202035 Labor Market FlowsDec-09-2020 10:00 Oct-202036 Labor Force ParticipationDec-04-2020 08:30 Nov-202037 Aggregate Weekly Hours IndexDec-04-2020 08:30 Nov-202038 Average Hourly EarningsDec-04-2020 08:30 Nov-202039 Employment Cost IndexOct-30-2020 09:30Q3-202040 Business Labor ProductivityDec-08-2020 08:32Q3-202041 Unit Labor Costs, Nonfarm BusinessDec-08-2020 08:32Q3-202042 InflationTable: Gauges of InflationNov-30-2020 20:53 Nov-202043 Expenditure Price IndexesNov-25-2020 10:02 Oct-202044, 45 Consumer Price IndexesDec-10-2020 08:31 Nov-202046 Producer Price IndexesDec-11-2020 08:34 Nov-202047 Commodity Price IndexesNov-30-2020 20:53 Nov-202048 Crude Oil PricesDec-14-202014-Dec-202049 TIPS Inflation CompensationDec-08-2020 15:1604-Dec-202050 Monetary Policy & Financial MarketsFederal Reserve System AssetsDec-10-2020 16:3109-Dec-202051 Monetary Policy InstrumentsDec-13-2020 08:2711-Dec-202052 Real Federal Funds RateNov-25-2020 10.

3 02 Nov-202053 FOMC Statement54, 55 Eurodollar FuturesDec-14-202014-Dec-202056 SEP: Federal Funds Rate57 Monetary BaseSep-17-2020 16:3209-Sep-202058M2 Dec-10-2020 16:31 Nov-202059 Money Market RatesDec-13-2020 08:2711-Dec-202060 Capital Market RatesDec-13-2020 08:2711-Dec-202061 Treasury Yield CurveDec-11-2020 16:1511-Dec-202062 Risk Premium Dec-13-2020 08:2711-Dec-202063 Real Gross Domestic ProductSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics420192020Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Consumption Fixed Fixed of Goods & of Goods & Sales to Domestic IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2012) Dollars]:Change in Private Exports of Goods & Consumption Expenditures & Gross Gross Domestic ProductSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics & Federal ReserveBoard5 Note: Projection is the median, central tendency, and range from the September 2020 Summary of Economic Projections.

4 Red dots indicate median projections. Projections of change in real gross domestic product (GDP) are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated. Decomposition of Real GDPS ource: bureau of Economic analysis and bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics6 Note: Productivity is calculated as real GDP per employee, from the Household SalesSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics7 Note: Retail sales includes food over Month % ChangeConsumer Spending and IncomeSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics8 Note: Income has been adjusted to account for temporary fiscal actions in 2008 and over Month % ChangeSales of Automobiles & Light TrucksSource: AutodataCorporation via HaverAnalytics9 Personal Saving RateSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics10 Note: Income has been adjusted to account for temporary fiscal actions in 2008 and Net WorthSource.

5 Financial Accounts of the United States via HaverAnalytics11 Existing Single-Family Home SalesSource: National Association of Realtors via HaverAnalytics12 New Single-Family Home SalesSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics13 Private Single-Family Housing Starts & PermitsSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics14 Private Multi-Family Housing Starts & PermitsSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics15 Real Investment in Nonresidential StructuresSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics16 Real Private Construction Put In PlaceSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics17 Notes: Private nonresidential construction deflated using the price index for private fixed investment in nonresidential structures and private residential construction deflated using the private residential investment chain price Nonresidential Fixed InvestmentSource: bureau of Economic analysis via HaverAnalytics18 Real Investment in EquipmentSource: bureau of EconomicAnalysis via HaverAnalytics19 Real Investment in Intellectual PropertySource: bureau ofEconomic analysis via HaverAnalytics20 Balance of International TradeSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics21 Exchange Value of the USDS ource: Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics22 Industrial ProductionSource: Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics23 Capacity Utilization Rate: ManufacturingSource.

6 Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics24 Indexes of Manufacturing ActivitySource: Institute for SupplyManagement & Richmond Fed via HaverAnalytics25 Indexes of Non-Manufacturing ActivitySource: Institute for Supply Management & Richmond Fed via HaverAnalytics26 ISM: Business Survey IndexesSource: Institute for Supply Management via HaverAnalytics27 DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards Economic activity. Purchasing Managers New Supplier Backlog of of New Export Export BUSINESS:NON-MANUFACTURING BUSINESS:Manufacturers New OrderSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics28 Core Capital GoodsSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics29 Notes: Core capital goods are nondefense capital goods excluding Inventory/Sales RatioSource: Census bureau via HaverAnalytics30 Nonfarm Payroll EmploymentSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics31 Nonfarm Payroll EmploymentSource: bureau of Labor Statisticsvia HaverAnalytics32 Nov245 Oct610 Sep711 Aug1493 Jul1761 Monthly ChangeUnemployment RateSource: bureau of Labor Statistics& Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics33 Notes.

7 FOMC projection is the median, range, and central tendency for the Q4 levels, from the September 2020 meeting. Red dots indicate median projectionsMeasures of Labor UtilitzationSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics34 Non-Employment Index35 Based on Measuring Resource Utilization in the Labor Market, Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, and Fabian Lange, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Quarterly, First Quarter 2014. Labor Market FlowsSource: JOLTS via HaverAnalytics36 Note: *Percent of total employment. **Percent of total employment plus job Force ParticipationSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics37 Aggregate Weekly Hours IndexSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics38 Average Hourly EarningsSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via % ChangeEmployment Cost IndexSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics40 Labor Productivity, Nonfarm BusinessSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via Change at Annual RateUnit Labor Cost, Nonfarm BusinessSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics42 Notes: Alternate series is derived from the Employment Cost Annual RateQuarterly ChangeGauges of InflationSource: BEA,BLS, & Commodity Research bureau via HaverAnalytics43 Notes.

8 Core PCE Price Index includes expenditures on food Price Indexes[Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate] %Personal Consumption (excludes Food and Energy) Price Indexes[Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: %All (excludes Food and Energy) Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate] %Finished (excludes Food and Energy) Intermediate Crude GoodsCrude Commodity Price Index %CRB Spot Commodity Price [Percent Change from Previous Month]:Personal Consumption Expenditure Price IndexSource: bureau of Economic analysis & Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics44 Notes: FOMC projection is the median, range, and central tendency for Q4/Q4 percent changes, from the September 2020 meeting.

9 Red dots indicate median Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index45 Notes: FOMC projection is the median, range, and central tendency for Q4/Q4 percent changes, from the September 2020 meeting. Red dots indicate median projections. Core PCE Price Index excludes expenditures on gasoline and food : bureau of Economic analysis & Board of Governors via HaverAnalyticsConsumer Price IndexesSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics46 MoM % ChangesOctNovCPI: All over Month % ChangeProducer Prices IndexesSource: bureau of Labor Statistics via HaverAnalytics47 All Finished Finished (percent)Commodity Price IndexesSource: bureau of Labor Statistics & Commodity ResearchBureau via HaverAnalytics48 Crude Oil PricesSource: Financial Times via HaverAnalytics & Chicago Mercantile Exchange49 Notes: Spot and Futures Prices are for Brent Crude Oil.

10 TIPS Inflation CompensationSource: Federal ReserveBoard via HaverAnalytics50 Federal Reserve System AssetsSource: Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics51 Note: Numbers may not add up due to Policy InstrumentsSource: Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics52 Real Federal Funds RateSource: bureau of Economic analysis & Board of Governors via HaverAnalytics53 Note: The Real Federal Funds Rate is the difference between the effective Fed Funds rate and the lagged year-over-year change in the core PCE price index. FOMC StatementSource: Board of Governors54 The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and Economic hardship across the United States and around the world.


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