（公开发布版） - ndrc.gov.cn

1 I ..iii ..1 ..1 ..2 ..6 ..6 ..7 ..8 ..10 ..10 ..15 ..17 ..20 ..22 ..23 ..24 ..25 ..26 ..27 ..27ii ..28 ..29 ..30 ..30 ..31 ..32 ..33 ..33 ..34 ..34 ..35 ..35 ..36 ..36 ..36 ..37 ..38 ..38 ..39 ..39 ..39iii 2020 2030 15% 20% 2016 2020 1 (IPCC) (IEA) (IRENA)

2 90% 60% 2015 2 20% 60% 31 2015 12% 2010 2015 4318 25% 5% 3500 80 500 35 80 204 5-6 40% 70% 60% 5 1 2010 2015 % 1 21,60629, 3,10010,00012, 1 16,80040,00044.

3 / 1 010008002 / 28,60047,80051, 6 7 1

4 2 3 8 4 2020 2030 15% 20% 1 2020 2 2020 27% 3 2020 9 4 2020 5 2020 6 2020 22020 / 67,500 19,045 56,1881 34,00012,50036,8752 210004,20012,3903 105001,2453,6734 5002005905 1,5009002,660 80 960 m215,1001 80,0009,6002 160,0004,0003 1,50010 1 2020 6801 400 3802 200 300 72,928 57.

5 82811 1 4000 6000 3 1 2 3 4 5 2 12 500 3 6000 4000 13 4 380 220 240 120 255 540 560 240 360 380 240 240 480 240 240 260 120 240 14014 80 120 120 60 58754 5

6 15 2020 1 16 2020 7000 500 2 2020 3500 4000 3 17 2020 1000 500 4 18 2020 1 + + 1 2

7 3 19 2020 500 4 2020 2020 8 5 280 20 3000 1 2020 80 160 2 20 20 / 14MW 21 2020 3000 3 2020 750 2020 700 50 2020 1500 900 4 22 2020 600 5

8 1 23 2 3 2020 24 1 25 2 1 2 26 3 IECRE

9 4 27 2020 5 - 800 - 660 - 1000 - 800 - 1000 - 800 - 800 - 800 - 800 - 800 28