Reducing food s environmental impacts through producers ...

1 SUSTAINABILITYR educing food s environmentalimpacts through producersand consumersJ. Poore1,2*and T. Nemecek3 Food s environmental impacts are created by millionsof diverse producers . To identify solutionsthat are effective under this heterogeneity, we consolidated data covering five environmentalindicators; 38,700 farms; and 1600 processors, packaging types, and retailers. Impact can vary50-fold among producers of the same product, creating substantial mitigation , mitigation is complicated by trade-offs, multiple ways for producers to achieve lowimpacts, and interactions throughout the supply chain.

2 producers have limits on how far they canreduce impacts . Most strikingly, impacts of the lowest-impact animal products typically exceedthose of vegetable substitutes, providing new evidence for the importance of dietary , our findings support an approach where producers monitor their own impacts ,flexibly meet environmental targets by choosing from multiple practices, and communicate theirimpacts to current diets and production prac-tices, feeding billion people is degrad-ing terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems,depleting water resources, and drivingclimate change (1,2).

3 It is particularlychallenging to find solutions that are effectiveacross the large and diverse range of producersthat characterize the agricultural sector. Morethan 570 million farms produce in almost all theworld sclimatesandsoils(3), each using vastlydifferent agronomic methods; average farm sizesvary from ha in Bangladesh to 3000 ha inAustralia (3); average mineral fertilizer use rangesfrom 1 kg of nitrogen per ha in Uganda to 300 kgin China (4); and although four crops provide halfof the world s food calories (4), more than 2 milliondistinct varieties are recorded in seed vaults (5).

4 Further, products range from minimally to heavilyprocessed and packaged, with 17 of every 100 kg offood produced transported internationally, increas-ingto50kgfornutsand56kgforoils(4 ).Previous studies have assessed aspects of thisheterogeneity by using geospatial data sets (6 8),but global assessments using the inputs, outputs,and practices of actual producers have been lim-ited by data. The recent rapid expansion of thelife cycle assessment (LCA) literature is providingthis information by surveying producers aroundthe world. LCA then uses models to translate pro-ducer data into environmental impacts with suf-ficient accuracy for most decision-making (9 11).

5 To date, efforts to consolidate these data or buildnew large-scale data sets have covered greenhousegas (GHG) emissions only (8,12,13), agricultureonly (13 16), small numbers of products (8,14 16),and predominantly Western European producers (12 16) and have not corrected for important meth-odological differences between LCAs (12 16). Here,we present a globally reconciled and methodolog-ically harmonized database on the variation in food smultiple impacts . Our results show the need forfar-reaching changes in how food senvironmentalimpacts are managed and the multi-indicatorglobal databaseWe derived data from a comprehensive meta-analysis, identifying 1530 studies for potentialinclusion, which were supplemented with addi-tional data received from 139 authors.

6 Studieswere assessed against 11 criteria designed tostandardize methodology, resulting in 570 suit-able studies with a median reference year of2010 (17).The data set covers ~38,700 commer-ciallyviable farms in 119 countries (fig. S2) and40 products representing ~90% of global pro-tein and calorie consumption. It covers five im-portant environmental impact indicators (18):land use; freshwater withdrawals weighted bylocal water scarcity; and GHG, acidifying, andeutrophying emissions. For crops, yield repre-sents output for a single harvest. Land use in-cludes multicropping (up to four harvests peryear), fallow phases (uncultivated periods be-tween crops), and economic allocation to cropcoproducts such as straw.

7 This makes it a stron-ger indicator of both farm productivity andfood security than system we assess begins with inputs (theinitial effect of producer choice) and ends at re-tail (the point of consumer choice) (fig. S1). Foreach study, we recorded the inventory of out-puts and inputs (including fertilizer quantityand type, irrigation use, soil, and climatic con-ditions). Where data were not reported, for ex-ample, on climate, we used study coordinatesand spatial data sets to fill gaps. We recordedenvironmental impacts at each stage of the sup-ply chain. For GHG emissions, we further disag-gregated the farm stage into 20 emission then used the inventory to recalculate allmissing emissions.

8 For nitrate leaching andaquaculture, we developed new models for thisstudy (17).Studies included provided ~1050 estimatesof postfarm processes. To fill gaps in process-ing, packaging, or retail, we used additionalmeta-analyses of 153 studies providing 550 ob-servations. Transport and losses were includedfrom global data sets. Each observation wasweighted by the share of national production itrepresents, and each country by its share ofglobal production. We then used randomiza-tion to capture variance at all stages of thesupply chain (17).We validated the global representativeness ofour sample by comparing average and 90th-percentile yields to Food and Agriculture Or-ganization (FAO) data (4), which reconcile towithin 10% for most crops.

9 Using FAO foodbalance sheets (4), we scaled up our sample arable land and freshwater withdrawalsreconcile to FAO estimates. Emissions from de-forestation and agricultural methane fall withinranges of independent models (17). environmental impacts of the entirefood supply chainToday s food supply chain creates ~ billionmetric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2eq),26% of anthropogenic GHG emissions. A billion metric tons of CO2eq (5%) are causedby nonfood agriculture and other drivers of de-forestation (17). Food production creates ~32%of global terrestrial acidification and ~78% ofeutrophication.

10 These emissions can fundamen-tally alter the species composition of naturalecosystems, Reducing biodiversity and ecologicalresilience (19). The farm stage dominates, rep-resenting 61% of food sGHGemissions(81%including deforestation), 79% of acidification,and 95% of eutrophication (table S17).Today s agricultural system is also incrediblyresource intensive, covering ~43% of the world sice- and desert-free land. Of this land, ~87% isfor food and 13% is for biofuels and textile cropsor is allocated to nonfood uses such as wool andleather. We estimate that two-thirds of freshwaterwithdrawals are for irrigation.