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SOUTHERN AREA INCIDENT MANAGEMENT REPORT …

Large/Significant Activity: (Blue = newly reported fires & changes) INCIDENT Name INCIDENT Number Start Date Size Acres + or % Ctn. /MMA IMT Assigned Structure Loss Cochon (c) LA-SBR-000004 7/18/2020 8,500 19% Type 4 IC 8 Mile Still Road Fire #2 GA-GAS-102001 7/17/2020 121 89% Type 4 IC Gate 5 TX-TXS-200292 7/14/2020 13,343 +6,843 90% Type 3 IC Game Ranch TX-TXS-200285 7/13/2020 3,271 +271 90% Type 4 IC Blue Creek TX-TXS-200284 7/11/2020 4,355 100% Type 5 IC # = No updated information was submitted; * = No change in status Definitions: Full Suppression/Perimeter Control: Implies a strategy to "put the fire out as efficiently and effectively as possible, while providing for firefighter and public safety. (p) Point or Zone Protection/Limited Perimeter Control: Involves protecting specific points from the fire while not actively trying to line the entire fire edge. (c) monitor /Confine: MANAGEMENT actions conforming to a monitoring strategy that periodically checks the fire to ensure it continues to meet objectives, and where no further action is taken.

State of Arkansas 0 0 0 1 1 State of California 1 0 0 0 1 State of Colorado 1 0 4 26 31 State of Florida 0 0 0 18 18 State of Georgia ... Monitor/Confine: Management actions conforming to a monitoring strategy that periodically checks the fire to ensure it continues to meet

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Transcription of SOUTHERN AREA INCIDENT MANAGEMENT REPORT …

1 Large/Significant Activity: (Blue = newly reported fires & changes) INCIDENT Name INCIDENT Number Start Date Size Acres + or % Ctn. /MMA IMT Assigned Structure Loss Cochon (c) LA-SBR-000004 7/18/2020 8,500 19% Type 4 IC 8 Mile Still Road Fire #2 GA-GAS-102001 7/17/2020 121 89% Type 4 IC Gate 5 TX-TXS-200292 7/14/2020 13,343 +6,843 90% Type 3 IC Game Ranch TX-TXS-200285 7/13/2020 3,271 +271 90% Type 4 IC Blue Creek TX-TXS-200284 7/11/2020 4,355 100% Type 5 IC # = No updated information was submitted; * = No change in status Definitions: Full Suppression/Perimeter Control: Implies a strategy to "put the fire out as efficiently and effectively as possible, while providing for firefighter and public safety. (p) Point or Zone Protection/Limited Perimeter Control: Involves protecting specific points from the fire while not actively trying to line the entire fire edge. (c) monitor /Confine: MANAGEMENT actions conforming to a monitoring strategy that periodically checks the fire to ensure it continues to meet objectives, and where no further action is taken.

2 For specific information on fire activity (new wildland and prescribed fires by agency/unit, year to date totals, and large INCIDENT specifics), please refer to the SOUTHERN Area Summary or Detailed Situation Reports. ** For the purposes of this REPORT Large ICS 209 Incidents are defined as fires that exceeds 100 acres or larger in timber and slash (fuel models 8 13), 300 acres or larger in grass and brush (fuel models 1 7), or when a Type 1 or 2 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT Team (IMT) is assigned. Incidents with structures damaged or destroyed are also included, regardless of size. SOUTHERN AREA INCIDENT MANAGEMENT REPORT Monday, July 20, 2020 Center Manager: Nancy Ellsworth SOUTHERN Area Coordination Center Phone: (678) 320 3000 Office Hours: 0800 1800 Fax: (678) 320 3036 PREPAREDNESS LEVELS COMPACT STATUS SOUTHERN Area 2 South Central Closed National 3 Southeastern Closed Mid Atlantic Closed SOUTHERN Area Activity/Impacts 07/17-19/2020 Current Situation: Initial Attack ( ) Activity: Light Ongoing Uncontained Large Fires: & Active Acreage: 4 fires Total fires and acreage: 61 fires for 16,301 acres 25,235 acres New Fires on Federal Protected Lands in: 5 fires for 11 acres New Fires on State Protected Lands in: 27 fires for 214 acres FL, OK & TN FL, SC & TX Other reported through non-FAMWEB Channels: 29 fires for 16,076 acres in AL, GA, LA, MS, NC, OK, TX & VA Prescribed Fire Activity.

3 State and/or Federal Lands 26 prescribed fires for 5,797 acres in FL, NC, OK & SC Significant Activity 07/17-19/2020 New Large ICS 209 Incidents**/Critical Updates: RESOURCES NATIONAL TEAM RESOURCES AVAILABLE Area Command Team: Jalbert (through 7/27 @ 1400 MDT) INCIDENT MANAGEMENT Teams National Rotation: California (through 7/17 @ 0830 MDT) Interagency Buying Team National Rotation: Great Basin (through 7/28 @ 1018 MDT) SOUTHERN AREA IMT For Rotations Dates, please click HERE Bold indicates IMT on SA Current Rotation Dueitt (T1) Red Available Morales (T1) Blue Unavailable Beard (T2) Gold Unavailable Ketron (T3) Gray Unavailable (Available to roster when requested) SOUTHERN AREA BUYING TEAMS SA Littlechief Unavailable SA Robinson Committed Fawn Creek CO TYPE 1 CREWS Asheville Hotshots (Asheville, NC) Unavailable End of Season NC Augusta Hotshots (Augusta Springs, VA) Unavailable VA Cherokee Hotshots (Unicoi, TN) Committed Horseshoe AZ Jackson Hotshots (Jackson, MS) Unavailable MS TYPE 2IA CREWS FL State #3 (FL-FLS) Available FL GA-CHF #1 (GA-CHF) Committed Murphy Trail CO Jackson BLM (MS-JAD) Committed 2020 RMA Preposition CO NCST #1 (NC-NCS) Committed Little Pond TN TNS Crew #2 (TN-TNS)

4 Committed 2020 RMA Preposition CO WILDLAND FIRE MODULES Balcones Wildland Fire Module (TX-BAR) Unavailable TX Buffalo River Wildland Fire Module (AR-BUP) Unavailable AR Great Smoky Mtn. Wildland Fire Module (TN-GSP) Unavailable End of Season TN WILDLAND FUELS/SUPPRESSION MODULES KY-DBF #1 Suppression Module (KY-DBF) Committed 2020 Initial Attack TX TNS Module #1 Suppression Module (TN-TNS) Committed 2020 Initial Attack TX AVIATION RESOURCES N16KW (Air Attack) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N249CP (Air Attack) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N4579N (Air Attack) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N71AA (Air Attack) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX L-89 (Leadplane) Day Off Friday Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-10 (Large Airtanker) Day Off Wednesday Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-164 (Large Airtanker) Day Off Monday Unavailable Day Off TX T-811 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-823 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-831 (Single Engine Airtanker)

5 Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-833 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-842 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-849 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-867 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-876 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX T-891 (Single Engine Airtanker) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N562AJ (Type 1 Helicopter) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N716HT (Type 1 Helicopter) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N83BH (Type 1 Helicopter) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N196TA (Type 3 Helicopter) Available Local FL N407DP (Type 3 Helicopter) Committed Little Pond TN N351FW (Type 3 Helicopter) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX N357TA (Type 3 Helicopter) Committed 2020 Aviation Support TX SOUTHERN Area Predictive Services Daily Fire/All Hazards Weather Summary and Outlook Red Flag Warnings: None.

6 Fire Weather Watches: None. Fire Weather Summary/Outlook: Hot/humid with isolated to scattered storms; mostly low fire threat. Continued hot and very humid for most of our region this week with mainly diurnal isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity; up in probability versus last week. A couple of cold fronts moving southeast out of the Midwest will be enhancing instability and focusing higher rain potential from the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys east to the Mid-Atlantic through the week with otherwise daily instability thunderstorms for our southeast. In our west, still hot and humid with some storms for the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. Appears the North American monsoon generated thunderstorm activity will begin to pick up with some of the main activity reaching east into far west Texas. A tropical wave and abundant moisture field will be moving across SOUTHERN Florida Tuesday/Wednesday and will be producing widespread locally high downpours and very humid conditions.

7 This disturbed area is expected to move towards the northwest reaching the northwest Gulf coast around Saturday. Development, if any, could slow its motion. We discussed this last week and NHC is now monitoring (they give it a 20% development chance over the next 5 days). This tropical wave is being preceded by a weaker wave and rain area which will be reaching the northwest Gulf coast area late today but particularly Tuesday (northeast Texas and southwest Louisiana coasts). Puerto Rico: Since last Friday, the island experienced fairly broader and more significant rain coverage, but clearly the main high rain fall area (1 to over 3 inches with Cabo Rojo getting inches Sunday) was in the west/southwest. Eastern and SOUTHERN coastal areas saw to mostly inch accumulations with the drier/insignificant rain area confined to a small part of the island s central -north. While still dry , elevated humidity and some rain has improved fuel moistures.

8 Fire potential is deemed low to moderate and there are no fire danger statements in effect for today. Rain potential should be increasing through the week; longer term, expect rain producing tropical wave activity to also pick up as we begin to move into the more active tropical Atlantic months. Tropical Atlantic Summary and Outlook: As reported last week, a tropical wave moving from the southwest tropical North Atlantic will be moving across SOUTHERN Florida Tuesday and will be headed to the northwest into the Gulf of Mexico. The NHC is monitoring this area and gives it a 20% chance for development over the next 5 days. The NHC is also monitoring a second area of interest deep in the central main Atlantic tropical development area which is and will continue to move westward at 10-15 mph. Development potential is also currently low at about 10-20%. This feature is about 1000 miles the southeast of the Windward Islands. Weather Patterns/Trends/Discussion and Outlook: July, August, September, and October.

9 Weather Patterns/Trends/Discussion: While there has been some cooling of the ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific (the monitored El Nino SOUTHERN Oscillation (ENSO) region) to below average levels, the overall ENSO ocean-atmosphere pattern still remains nearer a neutral state. Modelling, and indeed historical global SST anomaly analogs, indicate ocean temperatures should remain in a cooling trend through summer and into fall with the ENSO oscillation possibly nearing or just getting into La Nina thresholds during fall. This pattern, along with an ongoing and typical transition to more easterly/tropical wind flow into our southeast states , should produce conditions which should keep periodic rain events in the forecast for the next few months and severely limit any significant or longer lasting drier, and/or lower humidity fire weather episodes. A generally wetter/humid pattern is seen to persist with the forecast conditions. In addition, tropical development potential is seen to be of higher potential this season and would be a significant source of rain should tropical events make their way into the SOUTHERN Area.

10 For west Texas and mainly the desert of the Trans Pecos, it appears a continuing drier and warmer than average pattern is likely and most likely will persist during the summer months. This area, Remarks by Reporting Office: 7/17-19/2020 VA-VIC No initial attack activity, supporting incidents in region with resource mobilizations. Click for today s SOUTHERN Area Summary Situation REPORT Click for Click for today s SOUTHERN Area Detailed Situation REPORT long term, will need to be monitored for gradual and possible continued drying during late summer and fall. Drought and Fuel Conditions (by exception): With the exception of mainly west Texas, fuel moistures across all fuel classes continue to trend at mostly above average levels with stream flows and more importantly soil moistures remaining at above average levels. No doubt there will be areas across the SOUTHERN Area which will see waxing and waning fuel moisture and ignition potential over the next four months, but overall, we don t think any significant and/or longer lasting high fire threat conditions will develop over the summer.


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