深圳碳排放现状及应对策略研究 - sz

1 2012 10 2 0755 86392374 13809890997 0755 86392299 1068 ..1 ..4 ..4 ..4 ..4 ..5 ..6 ..6 ..8 ..8 ..8 ..8 ..9 ..9 ..10 .. 11 .. 11 ..12 ..13 ..14 ..14.

2 16 ..18 ..18 ..18 ..18 ..19 ..20 ..20 ..21 ..22 ..25 ..25 ..25 ..26 1 ..28 ..28 ..29 ..29 ..30 ..30 ..31 ..32 ..34 ..35 ..35 ..35 ..37 ..38 ..39 ..40 ..41 ..42 ..44 ..45 ..45 ..45 ..45 ..47 ..47 ..48 ..48 ..48 ..49 ..49 ..49 ..50 ..50 ..50 ..52 ..52 ..55 ..56.

3 57 2 3 ..57 ..57 ..58 ..59 ..59 ..60 ..60 ..61 ..63 ..64 ..65 ..67 ..67 ..68 ..68 ..70 ..71 ..73 ..75 ..81 ..82 1

4 2009 2020 40% 45% 45% 4 2009 2009 2015 2015 35% 60% GDP 52% 9 80 IT 5

5 1 2 LEAP 2010-2020 3 - 4 5 1-1 6 7 /// 1-1 2 2010 2-1 0510152002004006008001000120019801985199 01995200020052010 ( ) ( ) ( ) 2-1 2010 5208 / 2-2 2-3 16776 / 11740 / 1~2 8 0100020003000400050006000 ( ) ( / ) (%) ( / )

6 2-2 2-3 2010 2-4 2000 1990 2010 2000 10% 0%30%60%90%02000400060008000100001200019 80198519901995200020052010 GDP (%) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )GDP (%) 2-4 2010 GDP 2-5 2-6 2010 10% 40% 9 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%19901995200020052 010 2-5 2-6 2010 GDP 2-7 GDP GDP GDP (%)

7 2-7 2010 GDP 2-8 2-9 10 2-8 2010 2-9 2010 2010 3-5-a 3-5-b 50% 35% 3-5-c (a) (b) (c) 2-10 2010 2-11 50% 60% 40% 11 2-11 2010 2011 2010 GDP / 2005 2-12 GDP GDP 20% 2005 2010 GDP ( / ) 2-12 2010 GDP GDP 2-13 / GDP GDP 12 (kWh/ ) (tce/ ) GDP (tce/ )

8 (tce/ ) GDP (kWh/ ) 2-13 2010 1 2-14 2-14 2010 2-15 1 2010 GDP / GDP 13

9 (tce/ ) 2-15 2-16 ( / ) ( / ) 2-16 2010 2 2010 2-17 CO2 36% 2 2005 2010 14 0%20%40%60%80%100% 2-17 2010 -1 2-18 55% 32% 2-18 2010

10 -2 2-19-a 80% 2-19-b 2-19-c 15 (a) (b) (c) 2-19 2010 2-20 2-20 2010 2010 GDP CO2/ 2005 CO2/ 2-21 GDP 16 17 48% CO2/ GDP 048121620 CO2/ 2-21 2-22 GDP GDP GDP