THIRD NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN (NDPIII) 2020/21 – …

1 NATIONAL PLANNING AUTHORITYJ anuary 2020 THIRD NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT plan (NDPIII) 2020/21 2024/25 NATIONAL PLANNING AUTHORITY iNDPIII 2020/21 2024/25 NATIONAL PLANNING AUTHORITYJ anuary 2020 THIRD NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT plan (NDPIII) 2020/21 2024/25 VISION A Transformed Ugandan Society from a Peasant to a Modern and Prosperous Country within 30 years GOAL To Increase Average Household Incomes and Improve the Quality of Life of Ugandans THEME Sustainable Industrialization for inclusive growth, employment and sustainable wealth creation THIRD NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT plan (NDPIII) 2020/21 2024/25iiii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS.

2 VI FOREWORD .. XIV EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .. XVI PART I: BACKGROUND AND DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT .. 1 CHAPTER 1: BACKGROUND .. 1 Introduction .. 1 Achievements, Challenges and Lessons learnt from NDPI and NDPII .. 2 How NDPIII is different from NDPI and NDPII .. 11 Approach and formulation process of the NDPIII .. 13 Structure of the plan .. 13 CHAPTER 2: REGIONAL AND GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT .. 14 Introduction .. 14 Key DEVELOPMENT Opportunities .. 15 Threats .. 18 Regional and International DEVELOPMENT Obligations.

3 21 CHAPTER 3: NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK .. 23 Macroeconomic 23 Economic Growth .. 25 Fiscal Strategy .. 27 Monetary Sector .. 30 Financial Sector DEVELOPMENT .. 32 External Sector Developments .. 32 PART II: STRATEGIC FOCUS, NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS AND 35 CHAPTER 4: STRATEGIC DIRECTION .. 35 Goal .. 35 DEVELOPMENT Objectives .. 35 Theory of change .. 36 Key DEVELOPMENT Results .. 36 DEVELOPMENT 37 DEVELOPMENT 39 NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Programs .. 46 NDPIII Core Projects.

4 47 PART III: DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES .. 49 CHAPTER 5: AGRO-INDUSTRIALIZATION .. 49 Introduction .. 49 NATIONAL PLANNING AUTHORITY iiiNDPIII 2020/21 2024/25ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS .. VI FOREWORD .. XIV EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .. XVI PART I: BACKGROUND AND DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT .. 1 CHAPTER 1: BACKGROUND .. 1 Introduction .. 1 Achievements, Challenges and Lessons learnt from NDPI and NDPII .. 2 How NDPIII is different from NDPI and NDPII .. 11 Approach and formulation process of the NDPIII .. 13 Structure of the plan .

5 13 CHAPTER 2: REGIONAL AND GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT .. 14 Introduction .. 14 Key DEVELOPMENT Opportunities .. 15 Threats .. 18 Regional and International DEVELOPMENT Obligations .. 21 CHAPTER 3: NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK .. 23 Macroeconomic 23 Economic Growth .. 25 Fiscal Strategy .. 27 Monetary Sector .. 30 Financial Sector DEVELOPMENT .. 32 External Sector Developments .. 32 PART II: STRATEGIC FOCUS, NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS AND 35 CHAPTER 4: STRATEGIC DIRECTION .. 35 Goal.

6 35 DEVELOPMENT Objectives .. 35 Theory of change .. 36 Key DEVELOPMENT Results .. 36 DEVELOPMENT 37 DEVELOPMENT 39 NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Programs .. 46 NDPIII Core Projects .. 47 PART III: DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES .. 49 CHAPTER 5: AGRO-INDUSTRIALIZATION .. 49 Introduction .. 49 iii Situation Analysis .. 50 Objectives .. 56 CHAPTER 6: MINERAL DEVELOPMENT .. 66 Introduction .. 66 Situation Analysis .. 66 Objectives .. 69 CHAPTER 7: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF PETROLEUM RESOURCES .. 76 Introduction.

7 76 Situation 77 Objectives .. 78 CHAPTER 8: TOURISM DEVELOPMENT .. 83 Introduction .. 83 Situation Analysis .. 84 Objectives .. 89 CHAPTER 9: CLIMATE CHANGE, NATURAL RESOURCES, ENVIRONMENT, AND WATER MANAGEMENT .. 94 Introduction .. 94 Situation Analysis .. 95 Objectives .. 98 CHAPTER 10: PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT .. 106 Introduction .. 106 Situation Analysis .. 106 Objectives .. 109 CHAPTER 11: MANUFACTURING .. 112 Introduction .. 112 Situational analysis .. 113 Objectives .. 116 CHAPTER 12: INTEGRATED TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE AND 119 Introduction.

8 119 Situation Analysis .. 120 Objectives .. 129 CHAPTER 13: ENERGY DEVELOPMENT .. 134 Introduction .. 134 Analysis .. 135 Objectives .. 138 CHAPTER 14: DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION .. 142 THIRD NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT plan (NDPIII) 2020/21 2024/25iviv .. 142 Situation Analysis .. 142 Objectives .. 145 CHAPTER 15: SUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION AND HOUSING .. 149 Introduction .. 149 Situation Analysis .. 150 Objectives .. 151 CHAPTER 16: HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT .. 155 Introduction .. 155 Situation Analysis.

9 156 Objectives .. 159 CHAPTER 17: INNOVATION, TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND TRANSFER .. 164 Introduction .. 164 Analysis .. 165 Objectives .. 166 Interventions .. 166 Implementation Reforms .. 168 CHAPTER 18: COMMUNITY MOBILIZATION AND MINDSET CHANGE .. 170 Introduction .. 170 Situation Analysis .. 171 Objectives .. 173 CHAPTER 19: GOVERNANCE AND SECURITY PROGRAMME .. 175 Introduction .. 175 Situation Analysis .. 176 Objectives .. 179 CHAPTER 20: PUBLIC SECTOR TRANSFORMATION .. 182 .. 182 Situation Analysis.

10 183 Objectives .. 186 CHAPTER 21: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT .. 189 Introduction .. 189 Situation Analysis .. 190 Objectives .. 191 CHAPTER 22: DEVELOPMENT plan IMPLEMENTATION .. 194 Introduction .. 194 Situation 194 .. 198 Interventions .. 198 NATIONAL PLANNING AUTHORITY vNDPIII 2020/21 2024/25iv .. 142 Situation Analysis .. 142 Objectives .. 145 CHAPTER 15: SUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION AND HOUSING .. 149 Introduction .. 149 Situation Analysis .. 150 Objectives .. 151 CHAPTER 16: HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT .